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Rabat is experiencing intensifying tension regarding the election amid Algeria's ongoing campaign against Moroccan nationals.
58%
↑+0% (7d)
Africa
pattern: rising_edge
generated 2026-07-22 19:22:11
Entities
Election
(topic)
gravity 0.0102 · momentum +0.007
Rabat
(place)
gravity 0.0008 · momentum +0.001 · Q3772
Signals
edge_weight_recent
13
edge_weight_prior
0.5
factor
26
event_count_recent
26
window_days
30
Confidence (58%) is computed numerically from these signals.
The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input,
the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.
What would change our mind
Edge weight between Election and Rabat returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.
Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM.
Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.
Where the contributing events happen
Contributing events (2)
2026-07-16 18:45:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal
· tone -0.74
Morocco launches 2nd national disability awareness campaign to promote inclusivity
Morocco · Rabat · Election
2026-07-07 19:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement
· tone -9.82
Algeria detains 18 moroccans in oran continues state level campaign against rabat
Morocco · Algeria · Rabat · Election · Algiers
Confidence history
58%
58%
2026-07-22
2026-07-26
2026-07-22 19:22:11: 58%
2026-07-22 20:22:05: 58%
2026-07-22 21:23:04: 58%
2026-07-22 22:21:59: 58%
2026-07-22 23:21:51: 58%
2026-07-23 00:23:21: 58%
2026-07-23 01:24:26: 58%
2026-07-23 02:24:07: 58%
2026-07-23 03:26:25: 58%
2026-07-23 04:31:45: 58%
2026-07-23 05:31:11: 58%
2026-07-23 06:33:35: 58%
2026-07-23 07:34:43: 58%
2026-07-23 08:35:48: 58%
2026-07-23 09:37:51: 58%
2026-07-23 10:37:33: 58%
2026-07-23 11:37:42: 58%
2026-07-23 12:39:29: 58%
2026-07-23 13:41:55: 58%
2026-07-23 14:44:04: 58%
2026-07-23 15:41:59: 58%
2026-07-23 16:44:20: 58%
2026-07-23 17:45:44: 58%
2026-07-23 18:47:55: 58%
2026-07-23 19:48:02: 58%
2026-07-23 20:48:48: 58%
2026-07-23 21:49:46: 58%
2026-07-23 22:48:09: 58%
2026-07-23 23:48:30: 58%
2026-07-24 00:51:25: 58%
2026-07-24 01:49:51: 58%
2026-07-24 02:49:34: 58%
2026-07-24 03:50:44: 58%
2026-07-24 04:51:51: 58%
2026-07-24 05:51:38: 58%
2026-07-24 06:53:09: 58%
2026-07-24 07:52:42: 58%
2026-07-24 08:53:04: 58%
2026-07-24 09:54:59: 58%
2026-07-24 10:55:48: 58%
2026-07-24 11:57:17: 58%
2026-07-24 12:59:16: 58%
2026-07-24 13:57:50: 58%
2026-07-24 14:57:49: 58%
2026-07-24 15:58:02: 58%
2026-07-24 16:58:50: 58%
2026-07-24 18:02:09: 58%
2026-07-24 19:00:59: 58%
2026-07-24 20:00:13: 58%
2026-07-24 20:59:59: 58%
2026-07-24 21:59:40: 58%
2026-07-24 22:59:33: 58%
2026-07-24 23:59:27: 58%
2026-07-25 00:59:45: 58%
2026-07-25 02:01:03: 58%
2026-07-25 03:00:46: 58%
2026-07-25 04:00:35: 58%
2026-07-25 05:03:07: 58%
2026-07-25 06:02:36: 58%
2026-07-25 07:02:45: 58%
2026-07-25 08:03:54: 58%
2026-07-25 09:05:17: 58%
2026-07-25 10:04:34: 58%
2026-07-25 11:04:33: 58%
2026-07-25 12:04:37: 58%
2026-07-25 13:04:38: 58%
2026-07-25 14:05:51: 58%
2026-07-25 15:05:27: 58%
2026-07-25 16:05:39: 58%
2026-07-25 17:05:29: 58%
2026-07-25 18:05:25: 58%
2026-07-25 19:07:33: 58%
2026-07-25 20:07:30: 58%
2026-07-25 21:10:26: 58%
2026-07-25 22:11:56: 58%
2026-07-25 23:11:44: 58%
2026-07-26 00:12:31: 58%
2026-07-26 01:13:18: 58%
2026-07-26 02:12:29: 58%
2026-07-26 03:13:57: 58%
2026-07-26 04:16:08: 58%
2026-07-26 05:17:36: 58%
2026-07-26 06:17:17: 58%
2026-07-26 07:16:51: 58%
Confidence 58% → 58% across 84 observations.