Russia is intensifying cooperation with Niger in counter, terrorism efforts.

Entities

• Russia (place) gravity 0.0187 · momentum -0.001 · Q159
• Niger (place) gravity 0.0005 · momentum -0.006 · Q1032

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 17.5
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 35
• event_count_recent 35
• window_days 30

Confidence (61%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Russia and Niger returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (8)

• 2026-07-09 09:00:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone +0.52
  Russia says to continue support for burkina faso niger mali militaries
  Mali · Niger · Burkina Faso · Russia · Moscow
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 18:15:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -1.07
  Russia is main partner against terrorism niger
  Niger · Russia · Moscow
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 17:00:00 · gdelt · 013 Make optimistic comment · tone -1.28
  Russia is main partner against terrorism niger
  Niger · Russia · Moscow · Vladimir Putin
  source ↗
• 2026-06-24 17:30:00 · gdelt · 0873 De-escalate military engagement · tone -6.02
  Burkina faso mali and niger highlight anti africa bias icc court
  Mali · Niger · Burkina Faso · Russia · Africa
  source ↗
• 2026-06-20 22:30:00 · gdelt · 018 Make empathetic comment · tone -8.75
  Russia libya qatar condemn deadly terror attack in niger
  Qatar · Niger · Russia · Moscow
  source ↗
• 2026-06-19 09:00:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -8.99
  Gunfire and explosions heard at niger capitals airport
  Niger · Russia
  source ↗
• 2026-06-19 07:45:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -8.88
  Al qaeda linked militants claim deadly attack on niger airport
  Niger · Russia
  source ↗
• 2026-06-18 21:45:00 · gdelt · 022 Appeal · tone -8.57
  Al qaeda linked jihadists attack niger airport
  Niger · France · Russia · Paris · Turkey
  source ↗

Confidence history