France and Erdogan are intensifying cooperation amid rising diplomatic interactions.

Entities

• France (place) gravity 0.0090 · momentum +0.004 · Q142
• Erdogan (person) gravity 0.0013 · momentum -0.012 · Q39259

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 23.7
• edge_weight_prior 0.8
• factor 29.63
• event_count_recent 33
• window_days 30

Confidence (59%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between France and Erdogan returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (6)

• 2026-07-15 16:30:00 · gdelt · 114 Complain officially · tone -1.59
  15072026 trump promised erdogan the f 35 but the law says no oped
  United States · Donald Trump · France · Erdogan
  source ↗
• 2026-07-09 09:15:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone +2.27
  Emmanuel macron emine erdogan hand kiss turkish first lady pulls away
  France · Paris · Emmanuel Macron · Erdogan · Italy
  source ↗
• 2026-07-07 10:45:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone -3.76
  Trump heads turkey nato summit netanyahu warns against deals erdogan
  Syria · Turkey · Benjamin Netanyahu · Donald Trump · France · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Israel-Gaza · Erdogan
  source ↗
• 2026-07-06 14:15:00 · gdelt · 026 Appeal · tone +0.81
  Erdogan starts nato summit diplomacy 224059
  France · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Erdogan · Turkey · White House · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-06-30 00:45:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -1.22
  Nato trump erdogan ankara summit europe defense russia
  Donald Trump · France · Russia · Paris · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Europe · Ankara · Erdogan
  source ↗
• 2026-06-29 22:15:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -1.22
  Nato trump erdogan ankara summit europe defense russia
  Donald Trump · France · Russia · Paris · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Europe · Ankara · Erdogan
  source ↗

Confidence history