Tehran and Keir Starmer are intensifying tensions over calls for a ceasefire in Iran.

Entities

• Tehran (place) gravity 0.0155 · momentum +0.006 · Q3616
• Keir Starmer (person) gravity 0.0019 · momentum -0.013 · Q478569

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 19.3
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 38.6
• event_count_recent 36
• window_days 30

Confidence (62%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Tehran and Keir Starmer returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (15)

• 2026-07-13 04:15:00 · gdelt · 180 Use unconventional violence · tone -3.58
  Iran publishes revenge list starmer
  Iran · Tehran · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 23:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -4.85
  26264366.starmer urges return iran ceasefire challenging two days
  Iran · Tehran · United Kingdom · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 23:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -4.83
  26264366.starmer urges return iran ceasefire challenging two days
  Iran · Tehran · United Kingdom · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 23:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -4.84
  26264366.starmer urges return iran ceasefire challenging two days
  Iran · Tehran · United Kingdom · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 22:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -4.95
  26264366.starmer urges return iran ceasefire challenging two days
  Iran · Tehran · United Kingdom · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 22:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -4.85
  26264366.starmer urges return iran ceasefire challenging two days
  Iran · Tehran · United Kingdom · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 20:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -4.84
  26264366.starmer urges return iran ceasefire challenging two days
  Iran · Tehran · United Kingdom · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 18:30:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -5.02
  26264831.public must supported energy bills iran clashes resume says starmer
  Iran · Tehran · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 16:15:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -4.71
  26264366.starmer urges return iran ceasefire challenging two days
  Iran · Tehran · Keir Starmer · Starmer · United Kingdom
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 16:00:00 · gdelt · 0256 Appeal to yield · tone -5.05
  Starmer urges return to iran ceasefire after challenging two days 169051
  Iran · Tehran · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 16:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +1.20
  Nato stronger and more united after ankara summit starmer says 169053
  Turkey · Tehran · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Keir Starmer · Ankara · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 10:15:00 · gdelt · 0831 Accede to demands for change of leadership · tone -2.16
  Wish you werent keir starmer endures awkward moment trump nato summit president renewed jibes iran
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · United Kingdom · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Keir Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-07 18:45:00 · gdelt · 110 Disapprove · tone -2.56
  Donald trump keir starmer resignation uk
  Tehran · Donald Trump · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Keir Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-07-01 05:30:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -1.34
  Keir starmer andy burnham nato mark rutte russia ukraine
  Tehran · Ukraine · Russia · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Keir Starmer · Mark Rutte · Russia-Ukraine war
  source ↗
• 2026-06-15 11:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +4.89
  Thanks to pakistan qatar giorgia meloni keir starmer welcome us iran reaching peace agreement trump israel netanyahu
  Iran · Israel · Qatar · Tehran · Benjamin Netanyahu · Donald Trump · Pakistan · Giorgia Meloni · Keir Starmer · Israel-Gaza · Switzerland · United Kingdom
  source ↗

Confidence history