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Nigeria is intensifying cooperation with Pope Leo XIV.
58%
→ 0% (7d)
Africa
pattern: rising_edge
generated 2026-07-15 01:20:18
Entities
Nigeria
(place)
gravity 0.0120 · momentum +0.004 · Q1033
Pope Leo XIV
(person)
gravity 0.0005 · momentum -0.010 · Q6109517
Signals
edge_weight_recent
12
edge_weight_prior
0.5
factor
24
event_count_recent
24
window_days
30
Confidence (58%) is computed numerically from these signals.
The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input,
the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.
What would change our mind
Edge weight between Nigeria and Pope Leo XIV returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.
Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM.
Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.
Where the contributing events happen
Contributing events (2)
2026-07-05 00:30:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement
· tone +4.07
I look forward to receiving pope leo xiv in nigeria tinubu
Nigeria · Abuja · Bola Tinubu · Pope Leo XIV · Tinubu · Lagos · Rome
2026-07-05 00:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement
· tone +2.69
I look forward to receiving pope leo xiv tinubu tells vatican diplomat
Nigeria · Lagos · Bola Tinubu · Vatican · Pope Leo XIV · Tinubu · Pope · Abuja
Confidence history
58%
58%
2026-07-15
2026-07-21
2026-07-15 01:20:18: 58%
2026-07-15 02:02:59: 58%
2026-07-15 03:04:00: 58%
2026-07-15 04:02:18: 58%
2026-07-15 05:04:46: 58%
2026-07-15 06:06:08: 58%
2026-07-15 07:05:54: 58%
2026-07-15 08:08:46: 58%
2026-07-15 09:11:28: 58%
2026-07-15 10:12:36: 58%
2026-07-15 11:16:17: 58%
2026-07-15 12:14:20: 58%
2026-07-15 13:17:56: 58%
2026-07-15 14:22:50: 58%
2026-07-15 15:21:23: 58%
2026-07-15 16:23:05: 58%
2026-07-15 17:22:06: 58%
2026-07-15 18:22:59: 58%
2026-07-15 19:24:26: 58%
2026-07-15 20:22:14: 58%
2026-07-15 21:25:54: 58%
2026-07-15 22:27:13: 58%
2026-07-15 23:29:00: 58%
2026-07-16 00:31:42: 58%
2026-07-16 01:31:43: 58%
2026-07-16 02:32:08: 58%
2026-07-16 03:35:14: 58%
2026-07-16 04:34:18: 58%
2026-07-16 05:34:18: 58%
2026-07-16 06:34:06: 58%
2026-07-16 07:35:16: 58%
2026-07-16 08:36:16: 58%
2026-07-16 09:36:06: 58%
2026-07-16 10:37:09: 58%
2026-07-16 11:38:33: 58%
2026-07-16 12:39:10: 58%
2026-07-16 13:40:54: 58%
2026-07-16 14:41:08: 58%
2026-07-16 15:44:44: 58%
2026-07-16 16:46:25: 58%
2026-07-16 17:50:15: 58%
2026-07-16 18:52:17: 58%
2026-07-16 19:56:00: 58%
2026-07-16 21:00:53: 58%
2026-07-16 22:02:00: 58%
2026-07-16 23:02:57: 58%
2026-07-17 00:03:49: 58%
2026-07-17 01:03:05: 58%
2026-07-17 02:06:20: 58%
2026-07-17 03:06:27: 58%
2026-07-17 04:08:57: 58%
2026-07-17 05:08:23: 58%
2026-07-17 06:13:44: 58%
2026-07-17 07:12:52: 58%
2026-07-17 08:12:29: 58%
2026-07-17 09:17:05: 58%
2026-07-17 10:17:24: 58%
2026-07-17 11:21:03: 58%
2026-07-17 12:20:12: 58%
2026-07-17 13:25:01: 58%
2026-07-17 14:23:15: 58%
2026-07-17 15:23:43: 58%
2026-07-17 16:24:59: 58%
2026-07-17 17:25:16: 58%
2026-07-17 18:24:34: 58%
2026-07-17 19:26:52: 58%
2026-07-17 20:32:16: 58%
2026-07-17 21:32:29: 58%
2026-07-17 22:32:05: 58%
2026-07-17 23:34:59: 58%
2026-07-18 00:34:05: 58%
2026-07-18 01:34:50: 58%
2026-07-18 02:35:03: 58%
2026-07-18 03:45:57: 58%
2026-07-18 04:49:27: 58%
2026-07-18 05:50:56: 58%
2026-07-18 06:52:58: 58%
2026-07-18 07:54:35: 58%
2026-07-18 08:59:49: 58%
2026-07-18 09:58:54: 58%
2026-07-18 11:01:09: 58%
2026-07-18 12:00:56: 58%
2026-07-18 13:02:43: 58%
2026-07-18 14:14:05: 58%
2026-07-18 15:16:35: 58%
2026-07-18 16:16:23: 58%
2026-07-18 17:20:30: 58%
2026-07-18 18:19:37: 58%
2026-07-18 19:21:13: 58%
2026-07-18 20:23:48: 58%
2026-07-20 16:30:33: 58%
2026-07-20 17:35:15: 58%
2026-07-20 18:42:23: 58%
2026-07-20 19:45:44: 58%
2026-07-20 20:48:13: 58%
2026-07-20 21:47:19: 58%
2026-07-20 22:56:40: 58%
2026-07-20 23:59:50: 58%
2026-07-21 00:57:55: 58%
2026-07-21 02:04:00: 58%
Confidence 58% → 58% across 100 observations.