Tension is intensifying between Bushehr and Hormuz amid escalating military events in the region.

Entities

• Hormuz (place) gravity 0.0042 · momentum -0.027 · Q888643
• Bushehr (place) gravity 0.0007 · momentum +0.027 · Q1135664

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 16.3
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 32.6
• event_count_recent 23
• window_days 30

Confidence (60%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Hormuz and Bushehr returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (6)

• 2026-07-14 03:00:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -7.62
  Us iran war live updates indian crew member killed uae tankers hormuz
  Iran · Bushehr · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 02:45:00 · gdelt · 111 Criticize or denounce · tone -3.25
  Us iran news live updates strikes tehran indian killed trump attack uae bahrain kuwait qatar israel strait hormuz
  Iran · Israel · Qatar · Tehran · Bushehr · Donald Trump · Iran nuclear · United Arab Emirates · Hormuz · Kuwait · Bahrain
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 02:30:00 · gdelt · 012 Make pessimistic comment · tone -7.44
  Indian national killed as uae tankers hit in hormuz
  Iran · Bushehr · Hormuz · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-07-12 20:00:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -6.77
  Iran us hormuz conflict updates
  Iran · Bushehr · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-12 06:15:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -3.85
  Artc us strikes in iran after irgc attacks ship in hormuz and declares strait closed until further notice
  Iran · Bushehr · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · Hormuz · Qatar
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 14:30:00 · gdelt · 015 Acknowledge or claim responsibility · tone -4.84
  Donald trump us preparing fresh strikes iran hormuz tensions escalate
  Iran · Bushehr · Donald Trump · Hormuz
  source ↗

Confidence history