Tehran and Spain are intensifying cooperation amid rising geopolitical discussions.

Entities

• Tehran (place) gravity 0.0155 · momentum +0.006 · Q3616
• Spain (place) gravity 0.0034 · momentum +0.029 · Q29

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 38.7
• edge_weight_prior 1
• factor 38.7
• event_count_recent 62
• window_days 30

Confidence (62%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Tehran and Spain returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (17)

• 2026-07-11 23:15:00 · gdelt · 0841 Return, release person(s) · tone -6.54
  Latest news just in jana armstrong layla jeffrey bavi iran spain
  Iran · United States · Tehran · Spain · Armstrong
  source ↗
• 2026-07-09 17:30:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +0.90
  Trump nato ankara summit iran ukraine greenland spain
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · Ukraine · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Russia-Ukraine war · Ankara · Turkey
  source ↗
• 2026-07-09 13:15:00 · gdelt · 1246 Reject mediation · tone -1.93
  Why trump left nato summit on a positive note after seething about iran spain and greenland
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · North Atlantic Treaty Organization
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 23:30:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +0.90
  Trump nato ankara summit iran ukraine greenland spain
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · Ukraine · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Russia-Ukraine war · Ankara · Turkey
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 20:15:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -2.42
  Trump calls to cut off all trade with spain over their refusal to pay full nato defense commitments
  Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · North Atlantic Treaty Organization
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 18:45:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -4.87
  Jet lagged trump wakes up
  Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · Denmark · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Iran
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 17:30:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -2.45
  The nato ankara summit in five trump quotes iranians are peverse spain is a lost cause nato does not make me happy
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · Ukraine · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Ankara
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 15:00:00 · gdelt · 100 Demand · tone -4.26
  2026 07 08 trump rattles nato summit with threat to cut spanish trade
  Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · North Atlantic Treaty Organization
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 14:30:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -0.96
  Trump calls spain wasted cause threatens to cut trade ties
  Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · North Atlantic Treaty Organization
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 13:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -0.19
  Trump nato summit ankara spain trade iran ceasefire greenland
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Ankara · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 13:45:00 · gdelt · 112 Accuse · tone +5.65
  Trump says interim iran deal is over announces end of trade ties with spain
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 12:30:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -5.11
  Donald trump turns spain says us cut ties
  Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · Iran
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 11:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -4.43
  Trump declares ceasefire iran over broadside nato summit
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · North Atlantic Treaty Organization
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 11:00:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone -4.27
  Trump iran deal is dead they are playing dirty backs rutte claims greenland and opens front with spain
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 11:00:00 · gdelt · 112 Accuse · tone -3.25
  Trump ends iran truce slams spain and nato in ankara outburst
  Iran · Turkey · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Ankara
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 10:45:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -0.82
  Nato summit trump threatens to cut trade with spain targets greenland
  Turkey · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · North Atlantic Treaty Organization · Iran
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 10:15:00 · gdelt · 023 Appeal for material cooperation · tone -4.57
  Update 2 trump says deal with iran is over to cut trade with spain
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · Spain · North Atlantic Treaty Organization
  source ↗

Confidence history