Tehran is intensifying cooperation with Al Udeid Air Base amid ongoing talks to prevent wider regional escalation.

Entities

• Tehran (place) gravity 0.0155 · momentum +0.006 · Q3616
• Al Udeid Air Base (place) gravity 0.0013 · momentum -0.002 · Q494083

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 74.1
• edge_weight_prior 3.6
• factor 20.58
• event_count_recent 133
• window_days 30

Confidence (56%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Tehran and Al Udeid Air Base returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (15)

• 2026-07-13 19:45:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone -2.22
  Tehran says talks with pakistan qatar continue to prevent wider us iran escalation
  Iran · Qatar · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Pakistan · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-07-12 09:45:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone +0.00
  Tehran, muscat to continue political, technical negotiations on hormuz strait shipping security
  Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Iran nuclear · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-12 03:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -3.06
  Trump threatens iran a thousand missiles are already aimed at tehran
  Iran · Qatar · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Donald Trump · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-07-10 20:45:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -2.33
  Us iran war news live updates west asia conflict strait of hormuz trump tehran talks ceasefire gulf states
  Iran · Tehran · Strait of Hormuz · Al Udeid Air Base · Donald Trump · Iran nuclear · Gulf · West Asia · Qatar
  source ↗
• 2026-07-10 15:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -2.62
  Iran wants talks but ceasefire over says trump as tehran begins restoring nuclear plant operations
  Iran · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Donald Trump · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 06:15:00 · gdelt · 112 Accuse · tone -5.96
  Us strikes iran after hormuz attacks tehran threatens response 224125
  Iran · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Iran nuclear · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 05:15:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -5.96
  Us strikes iran after hormuz tanker attacks tehran threatens crushing response
  Iran · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Iran nuclear · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 01:45:00 · gdelt · 112 Accuse · tone -6.02
  Us strikes iran after hormuz attacks tehran threatens response
  Iran · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Iran nuclear · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-08 00:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -6.54
  Us strikes iran after hormuz attacks tehran threatens response
  Iran · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Iran nuclear · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-07 23:45:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -6.46
  Us strikes iran after hormuz attacks tehran threatens response
  Iran · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Iran nuclear · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-07 11:15:00 · gdelt · 045 Mediate · tone -4.17
  Us iran talks are hold due ayatollahs funeral tehran attacked tankers going through hormuz
  Iran · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Iran nuclear · Hormuz · Qatar
  source ↗
• 2026-07-06 13:15:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -3.85
  2026 07 06 foreign delegations arrive tehran funeral ali khamenei
  Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Ali Khamenei · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-07-05 13:00:00 · gdelt · 012 Make pessimistic comment · tone -4.69
  Khamenei body moved to tehran prayer complex for funeral ceremonies
  Qatar · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Ali Khamenei · Iran nuclear · Iran · Pakistan
  source ↗
• 2026-07-04 10:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -3.25
  5291924 us offers tehran trade frozen funds exchange abandoning hormuz toll payments
  Iran · Qatar · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Iran nuclear · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-04 04:00:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone -1.94
  2026 07 03 pezeshkian tehran honor commitment washington adheres mou
  Iran · Qatar · Tehran · Al Udeid Air Base · Masoud Pezeshkian · Washington · D.C. · Iran nuclear
  source ↗

Confidence history