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Iraq and West Asia are intensifying cooperation amid rising tensions in the region.
61%
→ 0% (7d)
Middle East
pattern: rising_edge
generated 2026-07-15 01:19:32
Entities
Iraq
(place)
gravity 0.0028 · momentum -0.004 · Q796
West Asia
(place)
gravity 0.0008 · momentum -0.010 · Q27293
Signals
edge_weight_recent
8.4
edge_weight_prior
0.25
factor
33.6
event_count_recent
12
window_days
30
Confidence (61%) is computed numerically from these signals.
The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input,
the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.
What would change our mind
Edge weight between Iraq and West Asia returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.
Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM.
Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.
Where the contributing events happen
Contributing events (3)
2026-07-16 05:15:00 · gdelt · 085 Ease economic sanctions, boycott, embargo
· tone -2.24
Iran overplaying its hand on hormuz a new game has just begun in west asia oil scene
Iran · Syria · Iraq · Hormuz · West Asia · United States
2026-07-12 19:45:00 · gdelt · 013 Make optimistic comment
· tone -6.56
Us iran war news live updates west asia conflict strait of hormuz trump tehran talks ceasefire gulf states
Iran · Iraq · Tehran · Strait of Hormuz · Donald Trump · Iran nuclear · Gulf · West Asia
2026-06-17 21:00:00 · gdelt · 061 Cooperate economically
· tone -2.35
Amid west asia conflict bitumen woes hit indias road infrastructure push
Iraq · West Asia
Confidence history
61%
58%
2026-07-15
2026-07-17
2026-07-15 01:19:32: 58%
2026-07-15 02:02:11: 58%
2026-07-15 03:03:04: 58%
2026-07-15 04:01:30: 58%
2026-07-15 05:03:35: 58%
2026-07-15 06:05:19: 58%
2026-07-15 07:04:59: 58%
2026-07-15 08:07:45: 58%
2026-07-15 09:10:29: 58%
2026-07-15 10:11:38: 58%
2026-07-15 11:15:24: 58%
2026-07-15 12:13:26: 58%
2026-07-15 13:17:05: 58%
2026-07-15 14:21:48: 58%
2026-07-15 15:20:30: 58%
2026-07-15 16:22:16: 58%
2026-07-15 17:20:42: 58%
2026-07-15 18:21:50: 58%
2026-07-15 19:23:06: 58%
2026-07-15 20:21:24: 58%
2026-07-15 21:25:07: 58%
2026-07-15 22:26:24: 58%
2026-07-15 23:28:17: 58%
2026-07-16 00:30:57: 58%
2026-07-16 01:30:56: 58%
2026-07-16 02:31:22: 58%
2026-07-16 03:34:27: 58%
2026-07-16 04:33:35: 58%
2026-07-16 05:33:31: 58%
2026-07-16 06:33:20: 58%
2026-07-16 07:34:27: 58%
2026-07-16 08:35:16: 58%
2026-07-16 09:35:23: 58%
2026-07-16 10:36:22: 58%
2026-07-16 11:37:52: 58%
2026-07-16 12:38:21: 58%
2026-07-16 13:40:08: 58%
2026-07-16 14:40:23: 58%
2026-07-16 15:44:01: 58%
2026-07-16 16:45:44: 58%
2026-07-16 17:49:20: 58%
2026-07-16 18:51:31: 58%
2026-07-16 19:55:23: 58%
2026-07-16 21:00:13: 58%
2026-07-16 22:01:16: 58%
2026-07-16 23:02:17: 58%
2026-07-17 00:02:54: 58%
2026-07-17 01:02:22: 58%
2026-07-17 02:05:42: 58%
2026-07-17 03:05:47: 58%
2026-07-17 04:08:13: 61%
2026-07-17 05:07:35: 61%
2026-07-17 06:13:00: 61%
2026-07-17 06:13:29: 61%
2026-07-17 07:12:12: 61%
2026-07-17 08:11:39: 61%
2026-07-17 09:16:15: 61%
2026-07-17 10:16:31: 61%
2026-07-17 11:20:20: 61%
2026-07-17 12:19:25: 61%
2026-07-17 13:24:18: 61%
2026-07-17 14:22:32: 61%
2026-07-17 15:22:56: 61%
2026-07-17 16:24:08: 61%
2026-07-17 17:24:21: 61%
2026-07-17 18:23:46: 61%
2026-07-17 19:26:08: 61%
2026-07-17 20:31:31: 61%
Confidence 58% → 61% across 68 observations.