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Japan and Belarus are experiencing intensifying tension amid recent controversies involving Japan's non, profit organizations.
61%
→ 0% (7d)
Asia-Pacific
pattern: rising_edge
generated 2026-07-08 07:24:55
Entities
Japan
(place)
gravity 0.0048 · momentum +0.011 · Q17
Belarus
(place)
gravity 0.0009 · momentum -0.008 · Q184
Signals
edge_weight_recent
9
edge_weight_prior
0.25
factor
36
event_count_recent
11
window_days
30
Confidence (61%) is computed numerically from these signals.
The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input,
the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.
What would change our mind
Edge weight between Japan and Belarus returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.
Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM.
Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.
Where the contributing events happen
Contributing events (3)
2026-07-17 03:45:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal
· tone -6.52
Japan npo head arrested over paid organ transplant brokerage
Japan · Belarus · Tokyo
2026-07-08 06:15:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal
· tone -0.45
Japan · Tokyo · Belarus
2026-07-07 18:30:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal
· tone -6.06
Japan · Tokyo · Belarus
Confidence history
61%
59%
2026-07-08
2026-07-21
2026-07-08 07:24:55: 59%
2026-07-08 08:25:31: 59%
2026-07-08 09:24:47: 59%
2026-07-08 10:25:32: 59%
2026-07-08 11:26:38: 59%
2026-07-08 12:25:45: 59%
2026-07-08 13:27:43: 59%
2026-07-08 14:27:48: 59%
2026-07-08 15:28:07: 59%
2026-07-15 01:21:17: 59%
2026-07-15 02:04:00: 59%
2026-07-15 03:05:08: 59%
2026-07-15 04:03:21: 59%
2026-07-15 06:07:08: 59%
2026-07-15 07:07:03: 59%
2026-07-15 08:10:10: 59%
2026-07-15 09:12:40: 59%
2026-07-15 10:13:59: 59%
2026-07-15 11:17:20: 59%
2026-07-15 12:15:27: 59%
2026-07-15 13:19:39: 59%
2026-07-15 15:22:35: 59%
2026-07-15 16:24:23: 59%
2026-07-15 18:24:20: 59%
2026-07-15 20:23:24: 59%
2026-07-15 21:26:57: 59%
2026-07-15 22:28:31: 59%
2026-07-15 23:29:54: 59%
2026-07-16 00:32:34: 59%
2026-07-16 01:32:36: 59%
2026-07-16 02:33:17: 59%
2026-07-16 03:36:07: 59%
2026-07-16 04:35:17: 59%
2026-07-16 05:35:14: 59%
2026-07-16 06:35:00: 59%
2026-07-16 07:36:16: 59%
2026-07-16 08:37:21: 59%
2026-07-16 09:37:06: 59%
2026-07-16 10:38:05: 59%
2026-07-16 11:39:31: 59%
2026-07-16 12:40:07: 59%
2026-07-16 13:41:57: 59%
2026-07-16 14:42:09: 59%
2026-07-16 15:45:44: 59%
2026-07-16 16:47:30: 59%
2026-07-16 17:51:18: 59%
2026-07-16 18:53:25: 59%
2026-07-16 19:56:59: 59%
2026-07-16 21:01:51: 59%
2026-07-16 22:02:58: 59%
2026-07-16 23:03:52: 59%
2026-07-17 00:04:52: 59%
2026-07-17 01:04:04: 59%
2026-07-17 02:07:16: 59%
2026-07-17 03:07:23: 59%
2026-07-17 04:10:02: 59%
2026-07-17 05:09:28: 61%
2026-07-17 06:14:42: 61%
2026-07-17 07:13:49: 61%
2026-07-17 08:13:32: 61%
2026-07-17 09:18:11: 61%
2026-07-17 10:18:36: 61%
2026-07-17 11:22:01: 61%
2026-07-17 12:21:20: 61%
2026-07-17 14:24:21: 61%
2026-07-17 15:24:50: 61%
2026-07-17 19:27:53: 61%
2026-07-17 20:33:24: 61%
2026-07-17 22:33:06: 61%
2026-07-17 23:35:56: 61%
2026-07-18 00:35:04: 61%
2026-07-18 01:35:43: 61%
2026-07-18 02:36:03: 61%
2026-07-18 03:46:49: 61%
2026-07-18 04:50:15: 61%
2026-07-18 05:51:49: 61%
2026-07-18 06:53:49: 61%
2026-07-18 07:55:31: 61%
2026-07-18 09:00:53: 61%
2026-07-18 09:59:48: 61%
2026-07-18 11:02:08: 61%
2026-07-18 12:01:54: 61%
2026-07-18 13:03:40: 61%
2026-07-18 14:15:03: 61%
2026-07-18 15:17:32: 61%
2026-07-18 16:17:21: 61%
2026-07-18 17:21:26: 61%
2026-07-18 18:20:31: 61%
2026-07-18 19:22:11: 61%
2026-07-18 20:24:38: 61%
2026-07-20 17:36:15: 61%
2026-07-20 18:43:29: 61%
2026-07-20 19:46:53: 61%
2026-07-20 20:49:13: 61%
2026-07-20 21:48:24: 61%
2026-07-20 22:57:50: 61%
2026-07-21 00:01:10: 61%
2026-07-21 00:58:44: 61%
2026-07-21 02:04:54: 61%
2026-07-21 03:06:23: 61%
Confidence 59% → 61% across 100 observations.