Iraq is intensifying coordination with WTI Crude Oil Price amid efforts to secure a larger OPEC production quota.

Entities

• Iraq (place) gravity 0.0028 · momentum -0.004 · Q796
• WTI Crude Oil Price (indicator) gravity 0.0012 · momentum -0.007

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 58.8
• edge_weight_prior 2.5
• factor 23.52
• event_count_recent 108
• window_days 30

Confidence (57%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Iraq and WTI Crude Oil Price returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (20)

• 2026-06-30 03:45:00 · gdelt · 125 Reject plan, agreement to settle dispute · tone -3.69
  Revenue pressures oil investment fuel iraq%e2%80%99s push bigger opec quota
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-29 17:45:00 · gdelt · 0874 De-escalate military engagement · tone -9.62
  Economic crisis pushes iraq on collision course with opec
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-29 17:15:00 · gdelt · 125 Reject plan, agreement to settle dispute · tone -3.65
  Iraqs push for bigger opec quota driven by revenue pressures new oil investment
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-29 14:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -5.13
  Iraq denies opec exit reports but seeks higher long term production quota
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-27 00:45:00 · gdelt · 120 Reject · tone -1.77
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-26 22:45:00 · gdelt · 120 Reject · tone -1.77
  Iraq seeks reassessment of opec%e2%80%99s production quotas
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-26 21:00:00 · gdelt · 014 Consider policy option · tone -3.45
  Opec to shrink over threat of iraq exit
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-26 12:45:00 · gdelt · 016 Deny responsibility · tone -9.76
  Iraqi oil ministry denies reports of potential opec exit urg
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-26 06:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -2.34
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 23:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -1.90
  Iraq warns it might leave opec if oil quota not raised sources say
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 21:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -3.05
  Iraq warns it might leave opec if oil quota not raised sources say
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 19:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +1.07
  Following the uaes lead iraq warns it could leave opec heres what that would mean for oil stocks
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 16:30:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -1.45
  Oil prices at pre war levels on rising middle east supply
  Syria · Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price · Middle East
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 15:30:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -4.44
  After uae iraq signals opec exit why baghdad's threat could hurt saudi arabia and shake oil prices explained article
  Saudi Arabia · Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price · Baghdad
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 15:16:03 · rss
  After UAE and Qatar, could Iraq be next to leave OPEC?
  Qatar · Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 14:00:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -4.71
  Another opec exit iraq warns it could abandon oil cartel if quota hike rejected
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 13:15:00 · gdelt · 120 Reject · tone -0.39
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 13:15:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -6.48
  Iraq threatened to withdraw from opec
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price · United Arab Emirates
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 13:00:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -3.96
  Iraq urges opec to raise its quota
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price · Washington · D.C.
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 13:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -2.95
  Iraq rethinking its opec membership due
  Iraq · WTI Crude Oil Price
  source ↗

Confidence history