US Central Command is intensifying military operations near the Strait of Hormuz.

Entities

• Strait of Hormuz (place) gravity 0.0045 · momentum -0.013 · Q173040
• US Central Command (org) gravity 0.0006 · momentum -0.007 · Q749908

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 20.4
• edge_weight_prior 0.9
• factor 22.67
• event_count_recent 38
• window_days 30

Confidence (57%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Strait of Hormuz and US Central Command returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (12)

• 2026-06-28 02:00:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -3.73
  Iran war trump ceasefire kuwait attack oil prices strait of hormuz us military centcom crude lebanon hezbollah
  Iran · Lebanon · Strait of Hormuz · Hezbollah · US Central Command · Donald Trump · Islamabad · WTI Crude Oil Price · Kuwait · Pakistan
  source ↗
• 2026-06-28 00:00:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -2.27
  Us forces conducted strikes on iranian targets after tanker attack near strait of hormuz centcom
  Iran · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command · Iranian · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-06-27 10:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -7.32
  20260627 us strikes iran following attack on ship in strait of hormuz centcom
  Iran · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command
  source ↗
• 2026-06-20 20:00:00 · gdelt · 0871 Declare truce, ceasefire · tone +0.80
  2087352364 centcom says strait of hormuz shipping traffic rises
  Iran · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command · Beirut
  source ↗
• 2026-06-13 10:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -3.10
  Centcom says us forces intercept iranian drones targeting commercial ships in strait of hormuz
  Iran · Tehran · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command · Iranian
  source ↗
• 2026-06-11 01:04:43 · x
  @FT: US Central Command said American forces had launched ‘additional self-defence strikes’ against Iran on Trump’s orders, as the US president sought to force Tehran to sign a de
  Iran · Tehran · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command · Donald Trump · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-06-10 17:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -1.82
  President donald trump vows more strikes on iran after playing us for suckers tehran ceasefire peace deal negotiation strait of hormuz army apache helicopter military centcom self defense
  Iran · Tehran · Gaza Strip · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command · Donald Trump · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-06-10 06:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -5.88
  Iran irgc us mq 9 drone jam strait of hormuz centcom apache helicopter bahrain jordan
  Iran · Jordan · Strait of Hormuz · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · US Central Command · Bahrain · Bushehr
  source ↗
• 2026-06-10 02:15:00 · gdelt · 195 Employ aerial weapons · tone -6.03
  Centcom declares iran strikes complete after three waves targeting hormuz defenses
  Iran · United States · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-06-07 06:30:00 · gdelt · 112 Accuse · tone -7.71
  Centcom says it destroyed two iranian drones threatening shipping in strait of hormuz
  Iran · Tehran · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command · Iranian
  source ↗
• 2026-06-06 13:00:00 · gdelt · 016 Deny responsibility · tone -9.38
  20260606 us forces intercept drones launched by iran toward strait of hormuz centcom
  Iran · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command
  source ↗
• 2026-06-06 01:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -8.31
  Us forces shot down four iranian drones headed toward strait of hormuz centcom
  Iran · Strait of Hormuz · US Central Command · Iranian · Israel · Gaza Strip · Lebanon · Beirut · United States
  source ↗

Confidence history