Tehran and Shehbaz are intensifying coordination amid Shehbaz's likely visit to Iran.

Entities

• Tehran (place) gravity 0.0155 · momentum +0.006 · Q3616
• Shehbaz (person) gravity 0.0007 · momentum -0.008 · Q2096387

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 84.3
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 168.6
• event_count_recent 162
• window_days 30

Confidence (75%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Tehran and Shehbaz returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (4)

• 2026-06-30 10:00:00 · gdelt · 036 Express intent to meet or negotiate · tone -4.11
  959984 pm shehbaz likely to visit iran for ayatollah khameneis funeral
  Iran · Tehran · Pakistan · Iran nuclear · Shehbaz
  source ↗
• 2026-06-30 08:15:00 · gdelt · 017 Engage in symbolic act · tone -2.97
  Pm shehbaz likely to visit iran for ayatollah khamenei funeral
  Iran · Tehran · Ali Khamenei · Pakistan · Iran nuclear · Shehbaz
  source ↗
• 2026-06-27 14:00:00 · gdelt · 026 Appeal · tone +1.39
  2087352700 pm shehbaz to visit iran for khamenei's funeral
  Iran · Tehran · Ali Khamenei · Shehbaz · Turkey · Pakistan
  source ↗
• 2026-06-25 01:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +4.49
  Irans ballistic missile programme not part of islamabad mou clarifies pm shehbaz
  Iran · Tehran · Islamabad · Shehbaz · Pakistan
  source ↗

Confidence history