Tension between Tehran and Tel Aviv is intensifying amid escalating geopolitical conflicts.

Entities

• Tehran (place) gravity 0.0155 · momentum +0.006 · Q3616
• Tel Aviv (place) gravity 0.0020 · momentum +0.003 · Q33935

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 72
• edge_weight_prior 1
• factor 72
• event_count_recent 138
• window_days 30

Confidence (67%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Tehran and Tel Aviv returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (11)

• 2026-06-29 11:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +3.90
  Massive blow to iran and hezbollah netanyahu claims israel lebanon agreement sidelines tehran
  Iran · Israel · Lebanon · Tehran · Tel Aviv · Hezbollah · Benjamin Netanyahu · Israel-Gaza · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-06-23 21:00:00 · gdelt · 141 Demonstrate or rally · tone -8.55
  Former israeli pm admits tel aviv smuggled starlink terminals to iran during january riots
  Iran · Tehran · Tel Aviv
  source ↗
• 2026-06-22 04:30:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -3.57
  As vance meets top iranian officials in switzerland trump threatens tehran from afar to get in line
  Iran · Israel · Tehran · Tel Aviv · Donald Trump · Switzerland · Iran nuclear · Iranian · Lebanon
  source ↗
• 2026-06-22 00:00:00 · gdelt · 050 Engage in diplomatic cooperation · tone -4.10
  As vance meets top iranian officials in switzerland trump threatens tehran from afar
  Tehran · Tel Aviv · Donald Trump · Switzerland · Iran nuclear · Iranian · Israel
  source ↗
• 2026-06-21 10:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -2.69
  20260621 ex israeli prime minister says tel aviv could have rejected us iran agreement
  Iran · Tehran · Tel Aviv · Biden · Israel
  source ↗
• 2026-06-19 18:00:00 · gdelt · 0356 Express intent to cooperate · tone -7.75
  Iran war day 112 tehran withdraws from switzerland talks over israels lebanon attacks
  Iran · Lebanon · Tehran · Tel Aviv · Switzerland · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-06-18 18:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -1.09
  Us iran initial deal to end war sparks mixed reactions in tehran and tel aviv
  Iran · Tehran · Tel Aviv · African Union · Iran nuclear · Israel · Lebanon · Beirut
  source ↗
• 2026-06-18 15:45:00 · gdelt · 0874 De-escalate military engagement · tone -3.04
  Iran us mou codifies tehran strategic leverage cementing status regional superpower
  Iran · Lebanon · United States · Tehran · Tel Aviv · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-06-16 00:15:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone -3.99
  Trump has surrendered to iran claims conservative influencer as tehran experts within republican party trash war agreement to reopen strait of hormuz
  Iran · Israel · Tehran · Tel Aviv · Strait of Hormuz · Donald Trump · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-06-15 00:00:00 · gdelt · 071 Provide economic aid · tone -2.30
  Qatari mediators travel to tehran for final touches on a possible deal to end war
  Tehran · Tel Aviv · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-06-14 21:45:00 · gdelt · 041 Discuss by telephone · tone -1.38
  Let's not blow it trump says after tehran warns israeli strike on beirut risks us iran deal
  Iran · Israel · Tehran · Tel Aviv · Beirut · Donald Trump · Iran nuclear
  source ↗

Confidence history