Canada and Havana are intensifying cooperation amid shifting US policies on Cuba.

Entities

• Canada (place) gravity 0.0087 · momentum +0.008 · Q16
• Havana (place) gravity 0.0013 · momentum +0.010 · Q1563

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 25.6
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 51.2
• event_count_recent 46
• window_days 30

Confidence (64%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Canada and Havana returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (16)

• 2026-06-29 08:30:00 · gdelt · 160 Reduce relations · tone -3.76
  Cuba economy future options us pressure
  Canada · Cuba · Havana
  source ↗
• 2026-06-29 06:45:00 · gdelt · 060 Engage in material cooperation · tone -3.66
  Canada side swiped by trumps cuba policy
  Canada · Cuba · Havana · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-06-27 18:45:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone +2.60
  Rochester jazz festival brings in visitors from sweden canada and beyond boosting business on east avenue
  Canada · Cuba · Havana · Sweden
  source ↗
• 2026-06-23 22:30:00 · gdelt · 160 Reduce relations · tone -5.41
  Us new cuba sanctions
  Canada · Cuba · Havana
  source ↗
• 2026-06-22 15:30:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -9.58
  Canada · Cuba · Havana
  source ↗
• 2026-06-19 02:30:00 · gdelt · 160 Reduce relations · tone -2.23
  Cuba pm economy reforms
  Canada · Cuba · Havana
  source ↗
• 2026-06-17 21:30:00 · gdelt · 013 Make optimistic comment · tone -3.68
  Senior cuban diplomat says havana ready to fight U.S. praises canadian aid
  Canada · Cuba · Havana · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-06-17 19:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -3.80
  Senior cuban diplomat says havana ready to fight U.S. praises canadian aid
  Canada · Cuba · Ottawa · Havana · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-06-17 18:30:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -3.53
  Senior cuban diplomat says havana ready to fight U.S. praises canadian aid
  Canada · Cuba · Havana · Ottawa · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-06-14 05:45:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -5.41
  Canada · Havana · Cuba
  source ↗
• 2026-06-13 00:00:00 · gdelt · 070 Provide aid · tone -5.08
  Canada · Cuba · Havana
  source ↗
• 2026-06-08 18:00:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -3.24
  Trump paves the way for us companies to enter cuba
  Donald Trump · Canada · Cuba · Havana
  source ↗
• 2026-06-07 23:30:00 · gdelt · 080 Yield · tone -4.56
  Air canada westjet indefinitely halt service to cuba
  Canada · Cuba · Havana
  source ↗
• 2026-06-04 00:15:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -4.40
  Article 768d1052 e75e 5f5f a44c
  Canada · Havana
  source ↗
• 2026-06-03 21:30:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -4.00
  Spanish hotel chain melia to shutter hotels in cuba in latest blow to islands tourism sector
  Canada · Cuba · Havana
  source ↗
• 2026-06-02 21:15:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -0.16
  U.S. state department looks to canada to offer support as trump eyes cuba
  Donald Trump · Canada · Cuba · Havana · United States
  source ↗

Confidence history