Havana is intensifying tension with Obama amid rising diplomatic and policy conflicts.

Entities

• Obama (person) gravity 0.0018 · momentum +0.183 · Q41773
• Havana (place) gravity 0.0012 · momentum +0.004 · Q1563

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 20.2
• edge_weight_prior 0.4
• factor 50.5
• event_count_recent 34
• window_days 30

Confidence (64%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Obama and Havana returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (16)

• 2026-06-20 00:15:00 · gdelt · 070 Provide aid · tone -1.93
  With cuba in crisis faith groups work to influence policy deliver aid
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-17 18:30:00 · gdelt · 050 Engage in diplomatic cooperation · tone -3.53
  Senior cuban diplomat says havana ready to fight U.S. praises canadian aid
  Cuba · Havana · Obama · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-06-13 11:30:00 · gdelt · 050 Engage in diplomatic cooperation · tone -3.94
  Freedivers leftover cables and bits of clay cuba gets inventive to save its pristine reefs amid us blockade
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-06 09:00:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -5.94
  Us imposes sanctions on cuban president wife 3
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-05 23:45:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -2.68
  What is happening with cubas official information system
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-05 13:45:00 · gdelt · 090 Investigate · tone -2.23
  Obama raul and fidel castro a flashback to cuba usa 2016
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-05 05:00:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -5.65
  Us sanctions cuban president miguel diaz canel in latest move to pressure islands leadership
  United States · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-05 00:30:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -5.28
  Us sanctions cuban president miguel daz canel in latest move pressuring islands
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-05 00:15:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -5.87
  Article us sanctions cuba president miguel diaz canel havana
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-05 00:00:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -3.92
  Us sanctions cuba president
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-04 22:30:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -3.85
  Us imposes sanctions
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-04 21:45:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -5.16
  Us imposes sanctions
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-04 09:15:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone +0.80
  Raul castro turns 95 as cuba celebrates enigmatic
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-06-03 08:15:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone +0.83
  Raul castro turns 95 as cuba celebrates enigmatic figure
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-05-30 15:45:00 · gdelt · 090 Investigate · tone -1.63
  Cuba us enduring spying tensions
  Cuba · Havana · Obama
  source ↗
• 2026-05-30 12:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -0.32
  Rhodes scholar ties cubas president organized convoy brought hasan piker havana
  Havana · Obama
  source ↗

Confidence history