OpenAI and Satya Nadella are intensifying coordination amid increased public and legal scrutiny.

Entities

• OpenAI (org) gravity 0.0022 · momentum -0.028 · Q21708200
• Satya Nadella (person) gravity 0.0004 · momentum -0.003 · Q331610

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 18.45
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 36.9
• event_count_recent 35
• window_days 30

Confidence (61%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between OpenAI and Satya Nadella returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (7)

• 2026-05-12 00:30:00 · gdelt · 014 Consider policy option · tone -1.34
  Microsoft ceo satya nadella testifies musk openai trial
  United States · OpenAI · Microsoft · Satya Nadella · Elon Musk
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 22:15:00 · gdelt · 014 Consider policy option · tone -1.06
  Microsoft ceo satya nadella testifies musk openai trial
  United States · OpenAI · Microsoft · Satya Nadella · Elon Musk
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 20:18:25 · x
  @FT: Nadella says the attempt to remove Altman from OpenAI was ‘amateur city’ https://ft.trib.al/lBGZ3Lm
  OpenAI · Satya Nadella
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 20:15:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -2.56
  Satya nadella takes the stand in the musk v openai legal showdown
  United States · OpenAI · Satya Nadella · Elon Musk · Microsoft
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 19:43:40 · x
  @GaryMarcus: 🚨 In his testimony just now, at the Musk-OpenAI trial, Satya Nadella came off as shrewd, calm, and (mostly) honest, an impressive leader – but also selectively blind. How? He
  OpenAI · Satya Nadella · Elon Musk · Mira Murati · Ilya Sutskever
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 18:00:00 · gdelt · 014 Consider policy option · tone -1.58
  Microsoft ceo satya nadella testifies musk openai trial
  United States · OpenAI · Microsoft · Satya Nadella · Elon Musk
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 16:33:47 · x
  @WSJ: Microsoft Chief Executive Satya Nadella has taken the stand in a landmark trial pitting him against Elon Musk in the billionaire’s lawsuit against OpenAI https://on.wsj.com/4tx69
  OpenAI · Microsoft · Satya Nadella · Elon Musk
  source ↗

Confidence history