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Tension is intensifying between Taiwan and the Taiwan Strait amid increased regional security concerns.

65% → 0% (7d) Asia-Pacific pattern: rising_edge generated 2026-05-30 10:05:07

Entities

Signals

Confidence (65%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Taiwan and Taiwan Strait returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

events · last 30d

Contributing events (14)

Confidence history

74% 64% 2026-05-30 2026-06-06 2026-05-30 10:05:07: 72% 2026-05-30 10:10:20: 72% 2026-06-02 05:45:40: 72% 2026-06-02 06:47:46: 72% 2026-06-02 07:56:21: 73% 2026-06-02 09:04:58: 73% 2026-06-02 10:05:14: 73% 2026-06-02 11:11:34: 73% 2026-06-02 12:16:52: 73% 2026-06-02 13:26:27: 73% 2026-06-02 14:34:56: 73% 2026-06-02 15:42:25: 73% 2026-06-02 16:47:33: 73% 2026-06-02 17:53:03: 73% 2026-06-02 18:58:00: 73% 2026-06-02 20:01:24: 73% 2026-06-02 21:07:29: 73% 2026-06-02 22:12:54: 73% 2026-06-02 23:15:59: 73% 2026-06-03 00:22:35: 73% 2026-06-03 01:26:43: 73% 2026-06-03 02:27:41: 73% 2026-06-03 03:29:35: 73% 2026-06-03 04:35:30: 73% 2026-06-03 05:39:06: 73% 2026-06-03 06:40:32: 73% 2026-06-03 07:45:19: 73% 2026-06-03 08:49:22: 73% 2026-06-03 09:53:00: 73% 2026-06-03 10:58:56: 73% 2026-06-03 12:04:25: 73% 2026-06-03 13:12:24: 73% 2026-06-03 14:17:42: 73% 2026-06-03 15:24:41: 73% 2026-06-03 16:30:28: 73% 2026-06-03 17:36:01: 73% 2026-06-03 18:37:05: 73% 2026-06-03 19:39:12: 73% 2026-06-03 20:42:53: 73% 2026-06-03 21:49:04: 73% 2026-06-03 22:49:56: 73% 2026-06-03 23:54:24: 73% 2026-06-04 00:55:06: 73% 2026-06-04 01:55:05: 73% 2026-06-04 02:55:04: 73% 2026-06-04 03:55:56: 73% 2026-06-04 05:01:05: 73% 2026-06-04 06:00:58: 73% 2026-06-04 07:02:38: 73% 2026-06-04 08:04:51: 74% 2026-06-04 09:11:18: 74% 2026-06-04 10:15:24: 74% 2026-06-04 11:17:14: 74% 2026-06-04 12:17:12: 74% 2026-06-04 13:19:51: 74% 2026-06-04 14:20:25: 74% 2026-06-04 15:24:04: 74% 2026-06-04 16:25:31: 74% 2026-06-04 17:25:01: 74% 2026-06-04 18:29:22: 74% 2026-06-04 19:30:42: 74% 2026-06-04 20:31:10: 74% 2026-06-04 21:33:21: 74% 2026-06-04 22:34:30: 74% 2026-06-04 23:37:20: 74% 2026-06-05 00:38:23: 74% 2026-06-05 01:40:34: 74% 2026-06-05 02:41:35: 74% 2026-06-05 03:41:17: 65% 2026-06-05 04:45:28: 65% 2026-06-05 05:46:25: 65% 2026-06-05 06:48:33: 65% 2026-06-05 07:51:48: 65% 2026-06-05 08:55:05: 65% 2026-06-05 09:54:41: 65% 2026-06-05 10:55:40: 65% 2026-06-05 11:56:28: 65% 2026-06-05 12:58:56: 65% 2026-06-05 13:59:05: 65% 2026-06-05 15:01:06: 65% 2026-06-05 16:04:21: 65% 2026-06-05 17:07:16: 66% 2026-06-05 18:11:58: 66% 2026-06-05 19:13:37: 66% 2026-06-05 20:16:53: 66% 2026-06-05 21:19:26: 66% 2026-06-05 22:20:30: 66% 2026-06-05 23:21:46: 66% 2026-06-06 00:25:35: 66% 2026-06-06 01:25:09: 66% 2026-06-06 02:28:15: 66% 2026-06-06 03:31:47: 66% 2026-06-06 04:38:23: 66% 2026-06-06 05:41:23: 66% 2026-06-06 09:44:52: 64% 2026-06-06 10:46:52: 64% 2026-06-06 11:48:20: 65% 2026-06-06 12:50:22: 65% 2026-06-06 13:54:29: 65% 2026-06-06 14:53:22: 65%
Confidence 72% → 65% across 100 observations.