Tension between Tehran and Mossad is intensifying amid increased espionage and security incidents.

Entities

• Tehran (place) gravity 0.0292 · momentum -0.003 · Q3616
• Mossad (org) gravity 0.0006 · momentum -0.006 · Q179946

Signals

• factor 37.27
• window_days 30
• edge_weight_prior 1.5
• edge_weight_recent 55.9
• event_count_recent 97

Confidence (61%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Tehran and Mossad returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (17)

• 2026-05-13 14:15:00 · gdelt · 030 Express intent to engage · tone -4.87
  How iran stifled the us in hormuz within 40 days the dirty role of mossad and the uae mission
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad · United Nations · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-05-12 16:30:00 · gdelt · 090 Investigate · tone -5.51
  Iran executes spy cia mossad erfan shakourzadeh
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 22:00:00 · gdelt · 1125 Accuse · tone -5.51
  Iran execution cia mossad erfan shakourzadeh
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 17:00:00 · gdelt · 1122 Accuse of human rights abuses · tone -9.64
  Iran hangs student accused working cia israels mossad
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 13:30:00 · gdelt · 112 Accuse · tone -9.42
  Iran hangs grad student accused spying cia mossad
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 11:30:00 · gdelt · 090 Investigate · tone -8.39
  Tehran executes cia and mossad spy erfan shakourzadeh
  Tehran · Mossad · Iran nuclear · Iran
  source ↗
• 2026-05-11 09:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -8.78
  Iran executes young aerospace engineer over cia and mossad espionage allegations
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-05-10 13:00:00 · gdelt · 186 Assassinate · tone -8.07
  Intelligence forces bust two mossad linked terror teams across iran
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-05-10 10:00:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -3.26
  Ag to high court revoke roman gofmans appointment as mossad chief
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-05-02 14:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -5.08
  Iran executes two men convicted spying israels mossad 901712
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-05-02 12:00:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -4.63
  Iran executes 2 men convicted of spying for israel mossad
  Iran · Israel · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-04-29 08:30:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -11.54
  Ex mossad chief warns west bank violence mirrors holocaust atrocities
  Tehran · West Bank · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-04-29 05:45:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone +4.69
  Mossad unveils groundbreaking operations against iran as spy chief touts intelligence superiority
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-04-23 22:15:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -7.17
  Executions rising iran hangs former nuclear worker accused of being a mossad spy
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad · Iran nuclear
  source ↗
• 2026-04-23 15:00:00 · gdelt · 072 Provide military aid · tone -4.42
  20260423 iran executes former official accused of collaborating with mossad
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-04-23 13:45:00 · gdelt · 075 Grant asylum · tone -8.12
  Iran hangs man accused spying israels mossad links mko terror group
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-04-23 13:00:00 · gdelt · 075 Grant asylum · tone -8.35
  Mko affiliated mossad spy executed in iran
  Iran · Tehran · Mossad · Iraq
  source ↗

Confidence history