Port-au-Prince is intensifying as a focal point in legal disputes over migrant protections and deportation policies.

Calibration

LOW tier, this pattern is structurally interesting but not directly calibratable yet. The confidence is a function of raw signal magnitude only.

Entities

• Port-au-Prince (place) gravity 0.0006 · momentum -0.105 · Q3551

Signals

• factor 7
• n_prior 1
• n_recent 7
• window_days 14

Confidence (69%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Event density in the cluster falls back to the 14-day baseline, or new events stop arriving for 7 consecutive days.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (3)

• 2026-04-29 21:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -2.39
  Court will consider whether trump administration properly revoked protected status for syrians a
  Port-au-Prince · Syria
  source ↗
• 2026-04-29 19:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -2.83
  The latest supreme court to hear arguments on ending legal protections for haitian syrian migrants
  Port-au-Prince · Syria
  source ↗
• 2026-04-28 11:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -2.89
  Trump supreme court tps
  Port-au-Prince · Syria
  source ↗

Confidence history