Paris and Starmer are intensifying cooperation on navigation security and diplomatic coordination.

Entities

• Starmer (person) gravity 0.0026 · momentum +0.003 · Q7602125
• Paris (place) gravity 0.0025 · momentum -0.002 · Q90

Signals

• factor 29.6
• window_days 30
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• edge_weight_recent 14.8
• event_count_recent 22

Confidence (59%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Starmer and Paris returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (9)

• 2026-04-18 03:15:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone +0.00
  Macron and starmer welcome hormuz reopening and push permanent navigation security
  Iran · Paris · Emmanuel Macron · Hormuz · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-04-18 00:45:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -1.26
  Trump pulls rug out from under starmer and macrons meeting
  Iran · Donald Trump · Paris · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-04-17 22:45:00 · gdelt · 144 Obstruct passage, block · tone -2.74
  Trump mocks starmer strait hormuz iran
  Iran · Donald Trump · Paris · Hormuz · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-04-17 19:45:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -0.36
  France uk starmer macron paris hormuz mission
  Iran · France · Paris · Emmanuel Macron · Hormuz · Starmer · Gaza Strip
  source ↗
• 2026-04-17 14:30:00 · gdelt · 026 Appeal · tone -0.68
  Macron starmer strait of hormuz summit
  Iran · Strait of Hormuz · Paris · Emmanuel Macron · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-04-17 08:00:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -2.73
  Macron starmer hold international summit on reopening strait of hormuz
  Iran · Strait of Hormuz · Paris · Emmanuel Macron · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-04-17 01:30:00 · gdelt · 044 Meet at a third location · tone -0.87
  Iran strait of hormuz starmer trump paris
  Iran · Tehran · Strait of Hormuz · Donald Trump · Paris · Starmer
  source ↗
• 2026-04-17 00:00:00 · gdelt · 036 Express intent to meet or negotiate · tone -0.59
  Starmer to say opening strait of hormuz global responsibility at paris meeting 165420
  Tehran · Strait of Hormuz · Paris · Keir Starmer · Starmer · Turkey
  source ↗
• 2026-04-16 22:30:00 · gdelt · 036 Express intent to meet or negotiate · tone -0.59
  Starmer to say opening strait of hormuz global responsibility at paris meeting 165420
  Tehran · Strait of Hormuz · Paris · Keir Starmer · Starmer
  source ↗

Confidence history