← back to feed
Islamabad and Moscow are intensifying cooperation amid recent positive developments in their relations.
57%
→ 0% (7d)
Europe
pattern: rising_edge
generated 2026-09-12 00:12:00
Entities
Moscow
(place)
gravity 0.0113 · momentum +0.010 · Q649
Islamabad
(place)
gravity 0.0037 · momentum +0.019 · Q1362
Signals
edge_weight_recent
10.6
edge_weight_prior
0.5
factor
21.2
event_count_recent
14
window_days
30
Confidence (57%) is computed numerically from these signals.
The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input,
the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.
What would change our mind
Edge weight between Moscow and Islamabad returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.
Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM.
Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.
Where the contributing events happen
Contributing events (2)
2026-08-25 13:00:00 · gdelt · 036 Express intent to meet or negotiate
· tone +1.71
Us military plane lands moscow kremlin no info
Iran · Islamabad · Moscow
2026-08-18 12:15:00 · gdelt · 0311 Express intent to engage in material cooperation
· tone +5.48
Fm dar welcomes positive momentum in islamabad moscow relations
Islamabad · Russia · Moscow · Pakistan
Confidence history
57%
57%
2026-09-12
2026-09-16
2026-09-12 00:12:00: 57%
2026-09-12 01:14:58: 57%
2026-09-12 02:16:42: 57%
2026-09-12 03:18:35: 57%
2026-09-12 04:19:58: 57%
2026-09-12 05:19:57: 57%
2026-09-12 06:23:00: 57%
2026-09-12 07:25:49: 57%
2026-09-12 08:29:19: 57%
2026-09-12 09:29:35: 57%
2026-09-12 10:32:20: 57%
2026-09-12 11:31:57: 57%
2026-09-12 12:34:16: 57%
2026-09-12 13:35:16: 57%
2026-09-12 14:39:24: 57%
2026-09-12 15:39:18: 57%
2026-09-12 16:40:42: 57%
2026-09-12 17:42:22: 57%
2026-09-12 18:40:34: 57%
2026-09-12 19:40:34: 57%
2026-09-12 20:41:36: 57%
2026-09-12 21:43:32: 57%
2026-09-12 22:44:31: 57%
2026-09-12 23:46:34: 57%
2026-09-13 00:48:08: 57%
2026-09-13 01:48:24: 57%
2026-09-13 02:48:31: 57%
2026-09-13 03:49:38: 57%
2026-09-13 04:49:15: 57%
2026-09-13 05:48:31: 57%
2026-09-13 06:49:32: 57%
2026-09-13 07:51:04: 57%
2026-09-13 08:51:35: 57%
2026-09-13 09:51:09: 57%
2026-09-13 10:50:38: 57%
2026-09-13 11:50:31: 57%
2026-09-13 12:52:35: 57%
2026-09-13 13:53:36: 57%
2026-09-13 14:57:42: 57%
2026-09-13 16:00:57: 57%
2026-09-13 17:03:24: 57%
2026-09-13 18:02:00: 57%
2026-09-13 19:04:04: 57%
2026-09-13 20:04:13: 57%
2026-09-13 21:02:46: 57%
2026-09-13 22:02:43: 57%
2026-09-13 23:03:40: 57%
2026-09-14 00:05:43: 57%
2026-09-14 01:07:25: 57%
2026-09-14 02:09:23: 57%
2026-09-14 03:11:09: 57%
2026-09-14 04:11:43: 57%
2026-09-14 05:13:23: 57%
2026-09-14 06:11:47: 57%
2026-09-14 07:12:49: 57%
2026-09-14 08:13:41: 57%
2026-09-14 09:14:45: 57%
2026-09-14 10:13:44: 57%
2026-09-14 11:15:46: 57%
2026-09-14 12:14:49: 57%
2026-09-14 13:15:02: 57%
2026-09-14 14:18:13: 57%
2026-09-14 15:18:38: 57%
2026-09-14 16:18:06: 57%
2026-09-14 17:19:13: 57%
2026-09-14 18:21:01: 57%
2026-09-14 19:23:32: 57%
2026-09-14 20:23:33: 57%
2026-09-14 21:24:51: 57%
2026-09-14 22:23:46: 57%
2026-09-14 23:23:45: 57%
2026-09-15 00:27:37: 57%
2026-09-15 01:27:37: 57%
2026-09-15 02:27:44: 57%
2026-09-15 03:28:58: 57%
2026-09-15 04:30:08: 57%
2026-09-15 05:31:51: 57%
2026-09-15 06:33:18: 57%
2026-09-15 07:32:48: 57%
2026-09-15 08:34:47: 57%
2026-09-15 09:36:13: 57%
2026-09-15 10:36:20: 57%
2026-09-15 11:36:57: 57%
2026-09-15 12:39:01: 57%
2026-09-15 13:38:06: 57%
2026-09-15 14:39:50: 57%
2026-09-15 15:39:47: 57%
2026-09-15 16:39:37: 57%
2026-09-15 18:46:08: 57%
2026-09-15 19:46:47: 57%
2026-09-15 20:48:26: 57%
2026-09-15 21:47:29: 57%
2026-09-15 22:47:01: 57%
2026-09-15 23:48:53: 57%
2026-09-16 00:47:44: 57%
2026-09-16 01:48:50: 57%
2026-09-16 02:49:29: 57%
2026-09-16 03:51:03: 57%
2026-09-16 04:50:45: 57%
2026-09-16 05:51:10: 57%
Confidence 57% → 57% across 100 observations.