Tel Aviv and Sudan are intensifying tensions amid allegations of Israel's involvement in Sudan's chemical weapons conflict.

Entities

• Sudan (place) gravity 0.0019 · momentum +0.004 · Q1049
• Tel Aviv (place) gravity 0.0019 · momentum +0.013 · Q33935

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 29.8
• edge_weight_prior 0.4
• factor 74.5
• event_count_recent 47
• window_days 30

Confidence (67%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Sudan and Tel Aviv returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (7)

• 2026-09-10 18:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -1.23
  Sudan chemical weapons allegations highlight israels involvement war
  Israel · Tel Aviv · Sudan · Turkey
  source ↗
• 2026-09-01 16:00:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -5.77
  Sudans rsf met with israel during the sudan war report
  Israel · Tel Aviv · Sudan
  source ↗
• 2026-09-01 13:15:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -3.21
  Israel · Tel Aviv · Sudan
  source ↗
• 2026-08-31 19:15:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -5.30
  Sudan rsf and israel held discreet meetings over last two years report
  Israel · Tel Aviv · Sudan
  source ↗
• 2026-08-31 14:30:00 · gdelt · 043 Host a visit · tone -3.37
  26508475.rsf officers accused genocide met israeli officials
  Israel · Tel Aviv · Sudan
  source ↗
• 2026-08-31 13:45:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -4.98
  Israel providing military aid to sudan uae backed rsf militia report
  Israel · Tel Aviv · Sudan
  source ↗
• 2026-08-30 20:30:00 · gdelt · 043 Host a visit · tone -4.14
  Artc sudan paramilitary leaders accused of atrocities allegedly met with israeli officials in tel aviv
  Tel Aviv · Sudan · United Arab Emirates · Israel
  source ↗

Confidence history