Beirut and Oman are intensifying cooperation amid rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.

Entities

• Beirut (place) gravity 0.0023 · momentum -0.025 · Q3820
• Oman (place) gravity 0.0015 · momentum -0.043 · Q842

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 22.4
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 44.8
• event_count_recent 40
• window_days 30

Confidence (63%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Beirut and Oman returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (16)

• 2026-08-29 23:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -3.71
  Iran hormuz united states oman
  Iran · Yemen · United States · Beirut · Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-28 03:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -2.77
  Us iran war trump hormuz oman centcom
  Iran · Lebanon · Beirut · US Central Command · Donald Trump · Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-26 13:30:00 · gdelt · 163 Impose embargo, boycott, sanctions · tone -4.74
  Live update iran and oman edge toward temporary strait of hormuz reopening plan
  Iran · Beirut · Strait of Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-26 10:45:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -2.83
  Iran holds firm hormuz closure despite oman transit agreement
  Iran · Beirut · Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-19 00:00:00 · gdelt · 070 Provide aid · tone -4.99
  030030 trump threatened to bomb oman because hes unhappy with countrys deal with iran officials say
  Iran · Lebanon · Beirut · Donald Trump · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-17 12:45:00 · gdelt · 195 Employ aerial weapons · tone -3.77
  Trump threatens to bomb oman if they get in way of hormuz deal
  United States · Beirut · Donald Trump · Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-16 10:30:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -4.63
  Iran oman discuss strait of hormuz 11 killed in lebanon
  Iran · Lebanon · Beirut · Strait of Hormuz · Oman · Israel
  source ↗
• 2026-08-07 03:15:00 · gdelt · 194 Fight with artillery and tanks · tone -9.80
  West asia conflict iran us war iran oman talks tehran washington peace deal houthis saudi arabia live updates august 7 2026
  Iran · Saudi Arabia · Tehran · Beirut · Houthis · Washington · D.C. · Iran nuclear · Oman · West Asia
  source ↗
• 2026-08-07 02:15:00 · gdelt · 057 Sign formal agreement · tone -3.12
  Iran seeks bar us ships hormuz deal oman advances
  Iran · Israel · Beirut · Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-07 02:00:00 · gdelt · 085 Ease economic sanctions, boycott, embargo · tone -2.59
  Live updates iran oman deal on strait of hormuz getting close
  Iran · Lebanon · Beirut · Strait of Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-06 17:30:00 · gdelt · 030 Express intent to engage · tone +1.56
  Iran oman reach understanding on hormuz strait reopening deal media reports
  Iran · Lebanon · Beirut · Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-06 08:45:00 · gdelt · 120 Reject · tone -5.17
  Iran oman strait of hormuz yemen houthis israel lebanon gaza us donald trump middle east crisis live news
  Iran · Israel · Lebanon · Yemen · Beirut · Strait of Hormuz · Houthis · Donald Trump · Israel-Gaza · Gaza · Middle East · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-05 02:45:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone -0.96
  Live updates rubio says progress made in iran oman talks on hormuz after trump threatens decapitation
  Iran · Lebanon · Beirut · Donald Trump · Rubio · Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-05 00:15:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -4.98
  Iran and oman are working on a plan to reopen the strait of hormuz and other mideast developments
  Iran · Israel · Beirut · Strait of Hormuz · Oman · Lebanon · Saudi Arabia
  source ↗
• 2026-08-04 21:15:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -4.99
  Iran and oman work to reopen strait of hormuz
  Iran · Lebanon · Beirut · Strait of Hormuz · Oman
  source ↗
• 2026-08-03 23:45:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone -2.25
  Us iran war peace talks trump empty threats strikes oman
  Iran · Israel · Beirut · Donald Trump · Oman · Lebanon
  source ↗

Confidence history