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Syria and Mossad are intensifying tensions amid recent military incursions following diplomatic talks.
74%
→ 0% (7d)
Middle East
pattern: rising_edge
generated 2026-08-29 08:33:06
Entities
Syria
(place)
gravity 0.0027 · momentum -0.015 · Q858
Mossad
(org)
gravity 0.0004 · momentum -0.013 · Q179946
Signals
edge_weight_recent
151.4
edge_weight_prior
1
factor
151.4
event_count_recent
274
window_days
30
Confidence (74%) is computed numerically from these signals.
The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input,
the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.
What would change our mind
Edge weight between Syria and Mossad returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.
Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM.
Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.
Where the contributing events happen
Contributing events (3)
2026-08-25 16:30:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement
· tone -3.79
Israeli forces enter syria two days after mossad fm talks aimed halting incursions 103953
Israel · Syria · Mossad · Gaza Strip · United States · Washington · D.C.
2026-08-25 15:00:00 · gdelt · 090 Investigate
· tone -4.70
Israel launches new south syria incursion days after mossad chief hts diplomat talks
Israel · Syria · Gaza Strip · Mossad
2026-08-24 18:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement
· tone -3.77
Mossad chief syrian fm meet jordan israel syria turkey triangle threatens ignite
Israel · Syria · Jordan · Turkey · Gaza Strip · Mossad · United States · Washington · D.C.
Confidence history
80%
80%
2026-08-29
2026-09-02
2026-08-29 08:33:06: 80%
2026-08-29 09:34:32: 80%
2026-08-29 10:35:34: 80%
2026-08-29 11:36:33: 80%
2026-08-29 12:36:50: 80%
2026-08-29 13:36:35: 80%
2026-08-29 14:38:38: 80%
2026-08-29 15:39:35: 80%
2026-08-29 16:40:02: 80%
2026-08-29 17:41:03: 80%
2026-08-29 18:43:39: 80%
2026-08-29 19:46:37: 80%
2026-08-29 20:46:35: 80%
2026-08-29 21:46:38: 80%
2026-08-29 22:46:44: 80%
2026-08-29 23:50:31: 80%
2026-08-30 00:51:08: 80%
2026-08-30 01:52:07: 80%
2026-08-30 02:53:37: 80%
2026-08-30 03:57:34: 80%
2026-08-30 04:57:32: 80%
2026-08-30 06:05:15: 80%
2026-08-30 07:04:34: 80%
2026-08-30 08:05:42: 80%
2026-08-30 09:07:35: 80%
2026-08-30 10:08:42: 80%
2026-08-30 11:07:40: 80%
2026-08-30 12:07:43: 80%
2026-08-30 13:07:32: 80%
2026-08-30 14:09:33: 80%
2026-08-30 15:12:29: 80%
2026-08-30 16:14:43: 80%
2026-08-30 17:15:33: 80%
2026-08-30 18:17:32: 80%
2026-08-30 19:19:41: 80%
2026-08-30 20:21:34: 80%
2026-08-30 21:23:21: 80%
2026-08-30 22:25:06: 80%
2026-08-30 23:26:19: 80%
2026-08-31 00:26:38: 80%
2026-08-31 01:28:39: 80%
2026-08-31 02:29:34: 80%
2026-08-31 03:29:49: 80%
2026-08-31 04:31:04: 80%
2026-08-31 05:30:56: 80%
2026-08-31 06:29:29: 80%
2026-08-31 07:54:30: 80%
2026-08-31 09:16:57: 80%
2026-08-31 10:56:07: 80%
2026-08-31 12:27:12: 80%
2026-08-31 13:50:51: 80%
2026-08-31 14:56:49: 80%
2026-08-31 15:56:33: 80%
2026-08-31 17:01:40: 80%
2026-08-31 18:00:37: 80%
2026-08-31 19:00:37: 80%
2026-08-31 20:02:30: 80%
2026-08-31 21:03:34: 80%
2026-08-31 22:03:33: 80%
2026-08-31 23:04:32: 80%
2026-09-01 00:07:02: 80%
2026-09-01 01:07:08: 80%
2026-09-01 02:07:42: 80%
2026-09-01 03:07:34: 80%
2026-09-01 04:09:25: 80%
2026-09-01 05:09:26: 80%
2026-09-01 06:07:32: 80%
2026-09-01 07:10:23: 80%
2026-09-01 08:14:28: 80%
2026-09-01 09:14:29: 80%
2026-09-01 10:17:05: 80%
2026-09-01 11:20:34: 80%
2026-09-01 12:22:16: 80%
2026-09-01 13:25:14: 80%
2026-09-01 14:31:38: 80%
2026-09-01 15:30:31: 80%
2026-09-01 16:30:49: 80%
2026-09-01 17:33:04: 80%
2026-09-01 18:32:29: 80%
2026-09-01 19:34:20: 80%
2026-09-01 20:34:38: 80%
2026-09-01 21:33:27: 80%
2026-09-01 22:34:13: 80%
2026-09-01 23:34:25: 80%
2026-09-02 00:34:30: 80%
2026-09-02 01:34:15: 80%
2026-09-02 02:34:09: 80%
2026-09-02 03:35:27: 80%
2026-09-02 07:53:22: 80%
2026-09-02 08:56:25: 80%
2026-09-02 09:58:47: 80%
2026-09-02 11:59:24: 80%
2026-09-02 13:01:27: 80%
2026-09-02 14:03:21: 80%
2026-09-02 15:03:14: 80%
2026-09-02 16:03:35: 80%
2026-09-02 17:04:00: 80%
2026-09-02 18:04:07: 80%
2026-09-02 19:05:12: 80%
2026-09-02 20:08:36: 80%
Confidence 80% → 80% across 100 observations.
