Colombia is intensifying cooperation with Rabat by recognizing Moroccan rule over Western Sahara.

Entities

• Colombia (place) gravity 0.0017 · momentum -0.004 · Q739
• Rabat (place) gravity 0.0011 · momentum -0.006 · Q3772

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 22.2
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 44.4
• event_count_recent 39
• window_days 30

Confidence (63%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Colombia and Rabat returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (9)

• 2026-08-13 03:00:00 · gdelt · 090 Investigate · tone +0.18
  The cost of complicity colombias shift in diplomacy regarding sahrawi phosphates
  Morocco · Rabat · Colombia
  source ↗
• 2026-08-12 14:45:00 · gdelt · 031 Express intent to engage in material cooperation · tone -2.74
  Colombia recognises moroccan rule over western sahara it aligns foreign policy israel
  Israel · Rabat · Colombia · Morocco
  source ↗
• 2026-08-12 12:15:00 · gdelt · 050 Engage in diplomatic cooperation · tone +4.12
  Colombia just made a historic u turn on the sahara heres what happened behind the scenes
  Morocco · Rabat · Colombia
  source ↗
• 2026-08-10 20:30:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone +0.83
  Colombia freezes ties with self declared sadr reaffirms moroccos sovereignty over western sahara
  Morocco · Rabat · Colombia
  source ↗
• 2026-08-10 20:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone +2.20
  99512 colombia reaffirms support for moroccos sovereignty over the sahara announces freezing of its recognition of so called sadr
  Rabat · Colombia · Morocco
  source ↗
• 2026-08-10 14:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +0.14
  Opinions analysis
  Morocco · Rabat · Colombia
  source ↗
• 2026-08-08 22:30:00 · gdelt · 032 Express intent to cooperate · tone -0.37
  Colombia recognises morocco western sahara 2026
  Morocco · Rabat · Colombia
  source ↗
• 2026-08-08 16:15:00 · gdelt · 014 Consider policy option · tone +0.69
  99466 colombia announces recognition of moroccos sovereignty over sahara marking a shift in its position
  Morocco · Rabat · Colombia
  source ↗
• 2026-08-08 11:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +0.61
  Colombia officially recognizes moroccos sovereignty over western sahara 2
  Morocco · Rabat · Colombia
  source ↗

Confidence history