Japan and Rome are intensifying tension over recent U.S. sanctions affecting the International Criminal Court.

Entities

• Japan (place) gravity 0.0046 · momentum -0.000 · Q17
• Rome (place) gravity 0.0017 · momentum +0.006 · Q220

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 10.8
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 21.6
• event_count_recent 18
• window_days 30

Confidence (57%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Japan and Rome returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (6)

• 2026-08-21 11:00:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone -2.99
  Japan issues rare criticism of us after it imposes sanctions on icc officials
  Japan · Italy · Rome
  source ↗
• 2026-08-20 17:30:00 · gdelt · 025 Appeal to yield · tone -2.38
  Us dismantling icc challenges tokyo
  Japan · Tokyo · Rome · Italy
  source ↗
• 2026-08-19 04:00:00 · gdelt · 057 Sign formal agreement · tone -9.12
  Us sanctions icc chief tomoko akane of japan
  Japan · Italy · Rome
  source ↗
• 2026-08-12 09:30:00 · gdelt · 057 Sign formal agreement · tone -5.71
  Rubio is right the icc is dangerously flawed opinion
  Japan · Italy · Rome · Rubio · South Korea
  source ↗
• 2026-07-30 16:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone +2.81
  Forza horizon 6 italian exotics hokubu region treasure hunt location
  Japan · Rome
  source ↗
• 2026-07-29 16:00:00 · gdelt · 045 Mediate · tone +0.89
  Italy saudi arabia reaffirm support for two state solution gaza ceasefire
  Saudi Arabia · Japan · Italy · Rome · Israel-Gaza · Gaza
  source ↗

Confidence history