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Rubio is intensifying cooperation with USAID regarding humanitarian efforts in Afghanistan.
57%
→ 0% (7d)
Geopolitics
pattern: rising_edge
generated 2026-08-20 06:55:59
Entities
Rubio
(person)
gravity 0.0013 · momentum -0.014 · Q20018784
USAID
(org)
gravity 0.0004 · momentum -0.004 · Q217072
Signals
edge_weight_recent
11
edge_weight_prior
0.5
factor
22
event_count_recent
22
window_days
30
Confidence (57%) is computed numerically from these signals.
The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input,
the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.
What would change our mind
Edge weight between Rubio and USAID returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.
Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM.
Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.
Where the contributing events happen
Contributing events (2)
2026-08-19 05:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement
· tone -2.55
Afghanistan taliban trump rubio usaid mortality
Donald Trump · Afghanistan · Taliban · Rubio · USAID · Kabul · United Nations · Congress
2026-08-18 23:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement
· tone -2.55
Afghanistan taliban trump rubio usaid mortality
Donald Trump · Afghanistan · Taliban · Rubio · USAID · Kabul · United Nations · Congress
Confidence history
59%
59%
2026-08-20
2026-08-25
2026-08-20 06:55:59: 59%
2026-08-20 07:56:00: 59%
2026-08-20 08:57:27: 59%
2026-08-20 09:58:28: 59%
2026-08-20 10:59:36: 59%
2026-08-20 21:06:12: 59%
2026-08-20 22:06:32: 59%
2026-08-20 23:08:25: 59%
2026-08-21 00:08:58: 59%
2026-08-21 01:11:53: 59%
2026-08-21 02:13:02: 59%
2026-08-21 03:16:23: 59%
2026-08-21 05:17:30: 59%
2026-08-21 06:17:43: 59%
2026-08-21 07:22:21: 59%
2026-08-21 08:21:25: 59%
2026-08-21 09:21:39: 59%
2026-08-21 10:22:35: 59%
2026-08-21 11:23:21: 59%
2026-08-21 12:25:15: 59%
2026-08-21 13:26:35: 59%
2026-08-21 14:28:33: 59%
2026-08-21 15:28:53: 59%
2026-08-21 16:29:43: 59%
2026-08-21 17:32:34: 59%
2026-08-21 18:35:51: 59%
2026-08-21 19:39:12: 59%
2026-08-21 20:39:35: 59%
2026-08-21 21:40:11: 59%
2026-08-21 22:41:55: 59%
2026-08-21 23:44:06: 59%
2026-08-22 00:46:33: 59%
2026-08-22 01:46:43: 59%
2026-08-22 02:47:14: 59%
2026-08-22 03:46:20: 59%
2026-08-22 04:46:17: 59%
2026-08-22 05:48:03: 59%
2026-08-22 06:49:57: 59%
2026-08-22 07:48:29: 59%
2026-08-22 08:51:26: 59%
2026-08-22 09:54:37: 59%
2026-08-22 10:54:19: 59%
2026-08-22 11:57:45: 59%
2026-08-22 12:59:52: 59%
2026-08-22 14:05:25: 59%
2026-08-22 15:07:14: 59%
2026-08-22 16:05:51: 59%
2026-08-22 17:07:01: 59%
2026-08-22 18:11:15: 59%
2026-08-22 19:11:18: 59%
2026-08-22 20:12:15: 59%
2026-08-22 21:13:06: 59%
2026-08-22 22:13:53: 59%
2026-08-22 23:14:09: 59%
2026-08-23 00:23:18: 59%
2026-08-23 01:22:21: 59%
2026-08-23 02:24:22: 59%
2026-08-23 03:26:42: 59%
2026-08-23 04:30:22: 59%
2026-08-23 05:33:19: 59%
2026-08-23 06:30:31: 59%
2026-08-23 07:31:19: 59%
2026-08-23 08:34:16: 59%
2026-08-23 09:35:06: 59%
2026-08-23 10:38:00: 59%
2026-08-23 11:38:29: 59%
2026-08-23 12:40:30: 59%
2026-08-23 13:39:29: 59%
2026-08-23 14:41:44: 59%
2026-08-23 15:43:47: 59%
2026-08-23 16:42:38: 59%
2026-08-23 17:44:23: 59%
2026-08-23 18:46:09: 59%
2026-08-23 19:46:29: 59%
2026-08-23 20:46:20: 59%
2026-08-23 21:47:15: 59%
2026-08-23 22:52:32: 59%
2026-08-23 23:54:21: 59%
2026-08-24 00:53:42: 59%
2026-08-24 01:54:23: 59%
2026-08-24 02:54:28: 59%
2026-08-24 04:03:28: 59%
2026-08-24 05:10:35: 59%
2026-08-24 06:18:03: 59%
2026-08-24 07:19:19: 59%
2026-08-24 08:20:19: 59%
2026-08-24 09:20:59: 59%
2026-08-24 10:21:02: 59%
2026-08-24 11:21:17: 59%
2026-08-24 12:21:58: 59%
2026-08-24 13:22:59: 59%
2026-08-24 15:30:36: 59%
2026-08-24 17:29:52: 59%
2026-08-24 18:34:12: 59%
2026-08-24 19:34:25: 59%
2026-08-24 20:36:24: 59%
2026-08-24 21:39:23: 59%
2026-08-24 22:40:15: 59%
2026-08-24 23:42:49: 59%
2026-08-25 00:42:29: 59%
Confidence 59% → 59% across 100 observations.