claim · Nigeria and New Delhi are experiencing intensifying tension

Entities

Nigeria (place) gravity 0.0115 · momentum -0.011 · Q1033
New Delhi (place) gravity 0.0076 · momentum -0.100 · Q987

Signals

edge_weight_recent 27.9
edge_weight_prior 1
factor 27.9
event_count_recent 54
window_days 30

Confidence (59%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Nigeria and New Delhi returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

… events · last 30d

Contributing events (18)

2026-08-21 12:45:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -6.56

Two nigerians detained in india over visa overstay

Nigeria · India · New Delhi

source ↗
2026-08-20 23:45:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -9.57

Nigerian man arrested for drug trafficking in india

Nigeria · India · New Delhi

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2026-08-18 00:15:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone +4.08

Kapil mishra meets nigerian minister discusses agriculture

Nigeria · New Delhi · India

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2026-08-17 15:30:00 · gdelt · 043 Host a visit · tone -2.47

Nigeria · New Delhi · India

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2026-08-17 12:15:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -4.24

Nigeria · New Delhi

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2026-08-17 01:15:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -3.86

Ndlea arrests businessman with n23m cocaine at lagos airport

Nigeria · Lagos · New Delhi

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2026-08-16 19:15:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -3.31

Ndlea arrests india bound businessman with cocaine seizes n3 6bn colos codeine

Nigeria · India · New Delhi

source ↗
2026-08-16 10:30:00 · gdelt · 043 Host a visit · tone -2.49

Ndlea arrests india bound businessman with cocaine recovers n3 6bn colos codeine

Nigeria · India · New Delhi

source ↗
2026-08-16 10:30:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -3.86

Ndlea arrests india bound businessman with cocaine recovers n3 6bn drugs in lagos

Nigeria · Lagos · India · New Delhi

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2026-08-15 03:15:00 · gdelt · 172 Impose administrative sanctions · tone -4.49

Dri drug crackdown five arrested with methamphetamine worth 710 crore in bhopal noida

Nigeria · India · New Delhi

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2026-08-13 17:30:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +3.74

Indian pm modi invites tinubu to 2026 brics summit in india

United Nations · Nigeria · India · New Delhi · Narendra Modi · Tinubu

source ↗
2026-08-13 15:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +3.14

Modi invites tinubu to brics summit in new delhi

Nigeria · New Delhi · Narendra Modi · Tinubu · Lagos

source ↗
2026-08-12 10:30:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -7.01

Doris wasnt real how facebook friendship cost lucknow man rs 68 lakh in cyber fraud

Nigeria · India · New Delhi

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2026-08-07 10:15:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -7.43

Rs 1 46 lakh cyber fraud busted delhi police arrests 4 including nigerian national

Nigeria · New Delhi · India

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2026-07-27 13:15:00 · gdelt · 050 Engage in diplomatic cooperation · tone +3.12

Ambassador saidu muhammad a career diplomat steps back into the arena by isah chiroma

Nigeria · New Delhi

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2026-07-25 19:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +4.38

Nigerias high commissioner saidu

Nigeria · New Delhi

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2026-07-25 17:45:00 · gdelt · 030 Express intent to engage · tone +4.17

Nigerias high commissioner designate assumes duty in india pledges inclusive diplomacy

Nigeria · India · New Delhi

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2026-07-25 16:45:00 · gdelt · 0831 Accede to demands for change of leadership · tone -3.31

Nigeria · New Delhi

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Confidence history