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Indonesia and Taiwan are intensifying cooperation amid rising tensions related to China's influence in the region.
68%
↑+0% (7d)
Asia-Pacific
pattern: rising_edge
generated 2026-08-16 07:18:43
Entities
Taiwan
(place)
gravity 0.0031 · momentum +0.003 · Q865
Indonesia
(place)
gravity 0.0027 · momentum -0.004 · Q252
Signals
edge_weight_recent
240.1
edge_weight_prior
3
factor
80.03
event_count_recent
378
window_days
30
Confidence (68%) is computed numerically from these signals.
The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input,
the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.
What would change our mind
Edge weight between Taiwan and Indonesia returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.
Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM.
Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.
Where the contributing events happen
Contributing events (4)
2026-08-27 16:15:00 · gdelt · 050 Engage in diplomatic cooperation
· tone -2.53
Indonesia china naval drill raises concerns over normalizing beijings presence east of taiwan
Indonesia · Taiwan
2026-08-26 19:45:00 · gdelt · 017 Engage in symbolic act
· tone +0.16
Indonesia · Taiwan
2026-08-25 18:30:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit
· tone -4.49
Taiwan indicts 9 over alleged illegal export of nvidia servers to china
China · Indonesia · Taiwan · NVIDIA
2026-08-25 03:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement
· tone -0.45
Indonesia china taiwan east exercise navy
China · Indonesia · Taiwan · Taipei · China tensions · Jakarta · Beijing
Confidence history
68%
67%
2026-08-16
2026-08-20
2026-08-16 07:18:43: 67%
2026-08-16 08:18:48: 67%
2026-08-16 09:18:36: 67%
2026-08-16 10:20:33: 67%
2026-08-16 11:20:28: 67%
2026-08-16 12:22:44: 67%
2026-08-16 13:23:20: 67%
2026-08-16 14:26:02: 67%
2026-08-16 15:25:34: 67%
2026-08-16 16:26:32: 67%
2026-08-16 17:27:35: 67%
2026-08-16 18:29:27: 67%
2026-08-16 19:30:30: 67%
2026-08-16 20:32:15: 67%
2026-08-16 21:33:15: 67%
2026-08-16 22:32:31: 67%
2026-08-16 23:32:34: 67%
2026-08-17 00:33:42: 67%
2026-08-17 01:35:18: 67%
2026-08-17 02:39:37: 67%
2026-08-17 03:42:27: 67%
2026-08-17 04:42:12: 67%
2026-08-17 05:45:19: 67%
2026-08-17 06:45:36: 67%
2026-08-17 07:47:46: 67%
2026-08-17 08:48:34: 67%
2026-08-17 09:55:20: 67%
2026-08-17 10:55:37: 67%
2026-08-17 11:58:07: 67%
2026-08-17 13:00:17: 67%
2026-08-17 14:07:27: 67%
2026-08-17 15:07:48: 67%
2026-08-17 16:08:36: 67%
2026-08-17 17:12:37: 67%
2026-08-17 18:13:46: 67%
2026-08-17 19:14:42: 67%
2026-08-17 20:14:44: 67%
2026-08-17 21:15:54: 67%
2026-08-17 22:16:13: 67%
2026-08-17 23:17:40: 67%
2026-08-18 00:25:33: 67%
2026-08-18 01:25:34: 67%
2026-08-18 02:33:30: 67%
2026-08-18 03:32:44: 67%
2026-08-18 04:36:58: 67%
2026-08-18 05:36:33: 67%
2026-08-18 06:37:08: 67%
2026-08-18 07:37:32: 67%
2026-08-18 08:38:39: 67%
2026-08-18 10:41:17: 67%
2026-08-18 11:41:16: 67%
2026-08-18 12:42:11: 67%
2026-08-18 13:45:49: 67%
2026-08-18 14:46:54: 67%
2026-08-18 15:47:43: 67%
2026-08-18 16:48:55: 67%
2026-08-18 17:50:38: 67%
2026-08-18 18:53:32: 67%
2026-08-18 19:53:51: 67%
2026-08-18 20:56:45: 67%
2026-08-18 21:55:01: 67%
2026-08-18 22:55:01: 67%
2026-08-18 23:57:00: 67%
2026-08-19 00:59:01: 67%
2026-08-19 02:00:51: 67%
2026-08-19 03:01:50: 67%
2026-08-19 04:04:42: 67%
2026-08-19 05:06:15: 67%
2026-08-19 06:13:53: 67%
2026-08-19 07:13:03: 67%
2026-08-19 08:19:15: 67%
2026-08-19 09:20:44: 67%
2026-08-19 11:30:27: 67%
2026-08-19 12:29:25: 67%
2026-08-19 13:31:10: 67%
2026-08-19 14:32:16: 67%
2026-08-19 15:31:07: 67%
2026-08-19 16:31:38: 67%
2026-08-19 17:32:36: 67%
2026-08-19 18:37:01: 67%
2026-08-19 19:36:43: 67%
2026-08-19 20:38:00: 67%
2026-08-19 21:38:18: 67%
2026-08-19 22:40:58: 67%
2026-08-19 23:41:35: 67%
2026-08-20 00:44:14: 67%
2026-08-20 01:49:07: 67%
2026-08-20 02:52:11: 67%
2026-08-20 03:51:41: 67%
2026-08-20 04:54:35: 67%
2026-08-20 05:55:44: 67%
2026-08-20 06:54:57: 68%
2026-08-20 07:55:01: 68%
2026-08-20 08:56:27: 68%
2026-08-20 09:57:28: 68%
2026-08-20 10:58:34: 68%
2026-08-20 12:00:17: 68%
2026-08-20 12:59:36: 68%
2026-08-20 13:58:15: 68%
2026-08-20 14:59:46: 68%
Confidence 67% → 68% across 100 observations.