Tehran is experiencing intensifying tensions with China amid increasing economic conflict driven by external pressures.

Entities

• Tehran (place) gravity 0.0096 · momentum -0.031 · Q3616
• China tensions (topic) gravity 0.0026 · momentum +0.091

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 48.7
• edge_weight_prior 2
• factor 24.35
• event_count_recent 73
• window_days 30

Confidence (58%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Tehran and China tensions returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (11)

• 2026-08-21 16:30:00 · gdelt · 036 Express intent to meet or negotiate · tone -5.14
  Ustells allies china join economic war against iran
  Iran · Tehran · China · China tensions
  source ↗
• 2026-08-21 02:30:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -6.01
  Us pushes allies china to back trumps economic war on iran
  Iran · Tehran · China · China tensions
  source ↗
• 2026-08-21 00:30:00 · gdelt · 012 Make pessimistic comment · tone -4.86
  Us pushes allies china to back trumps economic war on iran
  Iran · Tehran · China · China tensions
  source ↗
• 2026-08-20 23:45:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -7.43
  Iran us china bessent sanctions
  Iran · United States · Tehran · China · China tensions · Bessent
  source ↗
• 2026-08-20 20:45:00 · gdelt · 036 Express intent to meet or negotiate · tone -6.48
  163588 us pushes allies china to back trumps economic war on iran
  Iran · Tehran · China · China tensions
  source ↗
• 2026-08-20 20:00:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -6.25
  Us warns allies china to back economic war on iran
  Iran · Tehran · China · China tensions
  source ↗
• 2026-08-20 17:15:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -5.69
  Us warns allies china to back economic war on iran
  Iran · Tehran · China · China tensions · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-08-20 17:00:00 · gdelt · 111 Criticize or denounce · tone -6.42
  Iran condemns trump's new sanctions as crimes against humanity us warns allies and china to get on board article
  Iran · Tehran · Donald Trump · China · China tensions
  source ↗
• 2026-07-30 03:15:00 · gdelt · 045 Mediate · tone -1.81
  Iran wants to bulk up its defence amid war with the us israel china lends a helping hand 546127 2026 07 30
  Iran · Israel · Tehran · China · China tensions
  source ↗
• 2026-07-29 10:30:00 · gdelt · 045 Mediate · tone -3.17
  More us aircraft at risk china to equip iranian military with 400 shoulder fired missile system 253976
  Tehran · China · China tensions · Iranian · Iran
  source ↗
• 2026-07-25 21:30:00 · gdelt · 044 Meet at a third location · tone -0.22
  Pakistan iran explore path toward new talks with us in a china initiated push sources
  Iran · Qatar · Tehran · China · Pakistan · China tensions
  source ↗

Confidence history