Jordan and Dublin are experiencing intensifying cooperation in response to recent asylum, related events.

Entities

• Jordan (place) gravity 0.0023 · momentum -0.006 · Q810
• Dublin (place) gravity 0.0022 · momentum +0.005 · Q1761

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 11.4
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 22.8
• event_count_recent 20
• window_days 30

Confidence (57%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Jordan and Dublin returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (11)

• 2026-08-02 22:00:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -7.73
  Asylum seeker fled girlfriend found
  Jordan · Ireland · Dublin · Immigration
  source ↗
• 2026-07-16 17:30:00 · gdelt · 100 Demand · tone -5.79
  Family of jordanian suspect complain about racism after killing of american mother in ireland
  Jordan · Ireland · Dublin
  source ↗
• 2026-07-15 19:00:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -0.47
  Slain american mother jamey carney remembered ray sunshine ireland funeral
  Jordan · Ireland · Dublin
  source ↗
• 2026-07-15 17:00:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -0.49
  She was our sunshine heartbreaking tributes paid at funeral of jamey carney
  Jordan · Dublin
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 19:45:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -7.41
  Gardai consider visiting jordan to interview person of interest in jamey carney murder case
  Jordan · Dublin
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 16:15:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -4.13
  5 questions as jamey carney person of interest detained in jordan
  Jordan · Ireland · Dublin
  source ↗
• 2026-07-13 20:45:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -3.18
  Migrant who fled ireland after murder of ny mom jamey carney arrested in jordan
  Jordan · Ireland · Dublin · Immigration
  source ↗
• 2026-07-13 20:15:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -2.72
  Migrant fled ireland american mothers murder arrested jordan
  United States · Jordan · Ireland · Dublin · Immigration
  source ↗
• 2026-07-13 18:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -3.59
  Boyfriend of murdered american mum jamey carney detained in jordan
  Jordan · Ireland · Dublin
  source ↗
• 2026-07-13 14:00:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -7.57
  Person interest jamey carney murder
  Jordan · Ireland · Dublin
  source ↗
• 2026-07-11 05:45:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -2.04
  Person interest jamey carney murder
  Jordan · Ireland · Dublin
  source ↗

Confidence history