Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is intensifying tension with London amid recent surveillance allegations.

Entities

• London (place) gravity 0.0081 · momentum +0.005 · Q84
• Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (org) gravity 0.0008 · momentum -0.007 · Q260354

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 41.4
• edge_weight_prior 1.5
• factor 27.6
• event_count_recent 73
• window_days 30

Confidence (59%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between London and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (20)

• 2026-07-31 13:45:00 · gdelt · 050 Engage in diplomatic cooperation · tone -6.16
  Irgc agent arrested in cyprus for alleged surveillance of uk base
  Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · Iran
  source ↗
• 2026-07-25 13:00:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -5.09
  Iran irgc people smuggling uk 5hjdf8m 2
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · Israel · Jewish
  source ↗
• 2026-07-23 17:30:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -5.34
  Irgc warns any uk base used by us to attack iran will become legitimate target
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London
  source ↗
• 2026-07-17 21:15:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -4.82
  Uk iran irgc national security pouria zeraati stabbing
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · London
  source ↗
• 2026-07-16 15:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -3.88
  Trump iran forever war hormuz irgc
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · Donald Trump · United Kingdom · London · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-16 09:00:00 · gdelt · 111 Criticize or denounce · tone -7.50
  Iran protests uk move against irgc summons british envoy
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · British
  source ↗
• 2026-07-16 05:15:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -1.89
  Iran summons british envoy over irgc designation
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · British
  source ↗
• 2026-07-15 20:15:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -2.99
  Iran summons british envoy over irgc designation
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · British
  source ↗
• 2026-07-15 09:30:00 · gdelt · 111 Criticize or denounce · tone -9.22
  Uk summons iranian diplomat over alleged irgc linked proxy attacks
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · Iranian
  source ↗
• 2026-07-15 06:00:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -6.07
  Uk summons irans top diplomat over alleged irgc proxy activity
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 21:30:00 · gdelt · 042 Make a visit · tone -6.93
  The ex iran irgc members complicit in humanitarian crimes living in uk
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 19:00:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -5.89
  Iran condemns uk plan to criminalise support for irgc
  Iran · Israel · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · Jewish
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 12:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -1.35
  Jewish group welcomes uk move to proscribe irans irgc
  Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · Jewish · Israel
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 11:30:00 · gdelt · 012 Make pessimistic comment · tone -8.33
  Iran says uks designation irgc security threat unjustified
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 09:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -8.10
  Britains move against the irgc sparks panic across iran regime media and officials
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 07:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -3.69
  Uk bans support for irans islamic revolutionary guard corps
  Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · Iran
  source ↗
• 2026-07-13 23:45:00 · gdelt · 111 Criticize or denounce · tone -4.35
  Uk bans support irans irgc and linked group over antisemitic attacks britain
  Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London
  source ↗
• 2026-07-13 22:00:00 · gdelt · 141 Demonstrate or rally · tone -5.45
  British government to designate irans irgc a national security threat in sweeping crackdown on foreign terror networks
  Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London · British
  source ↗
• 2026-07-13 20:15:00 · gdelt · 030 Express intent to engage · tone -2.16
  Uk to list irans irgc as terror threat
  Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · United Kingdom · London
  source ↗
• 2026-07-13 19:45:00 · gdelt · 060 Engage in material cooperation · tone -4.69
  Uk government iran irgc terror threat designation
  Iran · Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps · London · Jewish
  source ↗

Confidence history