Cuba and China tensions are intensifying as allegations of espionage activities emerge.

Entities

• China tensions (topic) gravity 0.0024 · momentum +0.006
• Cuba (place) gravity 0.0018 · momentum +0.007 · Q241

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 17
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 34
• event_count_recent 26
• window_days 30

Confidence (61%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between China tensions and Cuba returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (2)

• 2026-07-25 10:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -0.94
  Us claims three china linked spy sites in cuba monitoring american military activity
  Cuba · Havana · China · China tensions · Beijing · United States · Moscow · Russia · Washington · D.C.
  source ↗
• 2026-07-20 21:15:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +1.74
  Us claims 3 china linked spy sites cuba monitoring american military activity
  Cuba · China · Beijing · China tensions · United States · Havana · Moscow · Russia
  source ↗

Confidence history