Rubio is intensifying cooperation with Iraq regarding negotiations over the Iran crisis.

Entities

• Iraq (place) gravity 0.0030 · momentum -0.006 · Q796
• Rubio (person) gravity 0.0014 · momentum -0.023 · Q20018784

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 10.1
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 20.2
• event_count_recent 19
• window_days 30

Confidence (56%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Iraq and Rubio returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (8)

• 2026-07-23 12:15:00 · gdelt · 061 Cooperate economically · tone -4.18
  Rubio says trump iran policy is a head for an eye
  Iran · Iraq · Donald Trump · Rubio
  source ↗
• 2026-07-22 12:45:00 · gdelt · 110 Disapprove · tone -4.29
  Us secretary rubio describes iran troublemaker region
  Iran · Iraq · Rubio
  source ↗
• 2026-07-22 05:15:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -3.71
  1584507 rubio iran
  Iran · Iraq · Bushehr · Rubio
  source ↗
• 2026-07-22 05:00:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -3.97
  Rubio says us still willing to negotiate over iran crisis
  Iran · Iraq · Bushehr · Rubio
  source ↗
• 2026-07-22 04:15:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -3.99
  Rubio says us still willing to negotiate over iran crisis
  Iran · Iraq · Bushehr · Rubio
  source ↗
• 2026-07-17 08:00:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -3.71
  Rubio convenes countries on left wing political violence
  Iraq · Rubio
  source ↗
• 2026-07-17 07:30:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -3.80
  Rubio convenes countries on left wing political violence
  Iraq · Rubio · Cuba · United States
  source ↗
• 2026-07-16 18:00:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -3.91
  Rubio gathers countries on left wing political violence as it becomes a trump focus in elections
  Iraq · Donald Trump · Rubio · United States
  source ↗

Confidence history