Mossad is becoming a flashpoint in Iran-Israel tensions as reported incidents involving the intelligence agency have sharply accelerated.

Calibration

LOW tier, this pattern is structurally interesting but not directly calibratable yet. The confidence is a function of raw signal magnitude only.

Entities

• Mossad (org) gravity 0.0006 · momentum -0.027 · Q179946

Signals

• factor 14
• n_prior 1
• n_recent 14
• window_days 14

Confidence (75%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Event density in the cluster falls back to the 14-day baseline, or new events stop arriving for 7 consecutive days.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (2)

• 2026-05-04 10:15:00 · gdelt · 112 Accuse · tone -6.52
  20260504 iran executes three men accused of links to mossad and killing security officer
  Gaza Strip · Iran · Israel · Mossad
  source ↗
• 2026-05-04 09:30:00 · gdelt · 173 Arrest, detain, or charge with legal action · tone -13.31
  Mossad linked rioters convicted of murdering security forces executed in northeastern iran
  Iran · Mossad
  source ↗

Confidence history