South Africa and the Economic Community of West African States are intensifying cooperation in addressing regional xenophobia issues.

Entities

• South Africa (place) gravity 0.0025 · momentum -0.002 · Q258
• Economic Community of West African States (org) gravity 0.0005 · momentum +0.002 · Q193681

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 38.5
• edge_weight_prior 1
• factor 38.5
• event_count_recent 77
• window_days 30

Confidence (62%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between South Africa and Economic Community of West African States returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (8)

• 2026-08-05 07:30:00 · gdelt · 051 Praise or endorse · tone -9.25
  Xenophobia in south africa a continental crisis demanding justice and accountability
  South Africa · Economic Community of West African States
  source ↗
• 2026-07-24 10:00:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -10.32
  Nigeria ghana want afrophobia discussed at next au summit after south africa xenophobic crisis
  South Africa · Nigeria · Ghana · Economic Community of West African States
  source ↗
• 2026-07-24 07:30:00 · gdelt · 100 Demand · tone -6.36
  South africa rejects icc petition
  South Africa · Economic Community of West African States
  source ↗
• 2026-07-21 10:45:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone +1.73
  Tinubu demands united front against afro phobic attacks in south africa
  South Africa · Economic Community of West African States · Bola Tinubu · Tinubu · Nigeria
  source ↗
• 2026-07-21 01:30:00 · gdelt · 141 Demonstrate or rally · tone -4.75
  Shettima urges ecowas to confront xenophobic attacks in safrica
  South Africa · Pretoria · Economic Community of West African States
  source ↗
• 2026-07-20 17:45:00 · gdelt · 046 Engage in negotiation · tone -6.25
  Nigeria and ghana call on au to address afrophobic protests in south africa
  South Africa · Nigeria · Ghana · Economic Community of West African States
  source ↗
• 2026-07-20 12:00:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -5.05
  Ecowas takes united stand against xenophobia in south africa
  South Africa · Ghana · Economic Community of West African States · Abuja · Nigeria
  source ↗
• 2026-07-20 07:45:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone +1.20
  Nigeria asks ecowas to drag south africa before au
  South Africa · Nigeria · Ghana · African Union · Economic Community of West African States
  source ↗

Confidence history