Tehran and Baghdad are intensifying cooperation as Iraq's leadership seeks to redefine its relationship with Iran.

Entities

• Tehran (place) gravity 0.0155 · momentum +0.006 · Q3616
• Baghdad (place) gravity 0.0004 · momentum -0.002 · Q62

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 41.8
• edge_weight_prior 2
• factor 20.9
• event_count_recent 64
• window_days 30

Confidence (56%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Tehran and Baghdad returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (9)

• 2026-07-23 14:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -1.88
  Iraq pm heads to iran can baghdad redefine its relationship with tehran
  Iran · Iraq · Tehran · Iran nuclear · Baghdad
  source ↗
• 2026-07-20 17:30:00 · gdelt · 130 Threaten · tone -3.64
  20260720 zero hour in baghdad
  Iran · Tehran · Baghdad
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 07:45:00 · gdelt · 111 Criticize or denounce · tone -2.79
  Iraq pm heads to washington for trump talks as us pressures baghdad over iran
  Iran · Iraq · Tehran · Donald Trump · Washington · D.C. · Baghdad
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 04:00:00 · gdelt · 012 Make pessimistic comment · tone -4.20
  Trump to host iraqs new prime minister as baghdad seeks closer us ties
  Israel · Tehran · Donald Trump · Baghdad · Iraq
  source ↗
• 2026-07-14 03:30:00 · gdelt · 018 Make empathetic comment · tone -2.77
  Iraq pm ali zaidi meets donald trump in washington today amid us iran war what to expect baghdad ties strait of hormuz
  Iran · Iraq · Tehran · Strait of Hormuz · Donald Trump · Washington · D.C. · Baghdad
  source ↗
• 2026-07-06 09:00:00 · gdelt · 010 Make public statement · tone -1.75
  5292672 baghdad rejects iranian %e2%80%98protection%e2%80%99 suspects placed corruption lists
  Iran · Iraq · Tehran · Iranian · Baghdad
  source ↗
• 2026-06-29 14:00:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone +1.12
  Iranian foreign minister engages in high level discussions in baghdad calls for united regional security efforts
  Iran · Tehran · Iranian · Baghdad · Iraq
  source ↗
• 2026-06-29 03:45:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -1.71
  Iran fm holds high level talks in baghdad urges collective regional security
  Iran · Tehran · Baghdad · United States · Iraq
  source ↗
• 2026-06-28 13:15:00 · gdelt · 013 Make optimistic comment · tone -2.90
  Iraq pushes for gcc iran summit in baghdad as tehran backs regional security framework
  Iran · Iraq · Tehran · Iran nuclear · Baghdad
  source ↗

Confidence history