Iraq is intensifying cooperation with the Houthis amid escalating tensions in the region.

Entities

• Iraq (place) gravity 0.0028 · momentum -0.004 · Q796
• Houthis (org) gravity 0.0007 · momentum -0.001 · Q1162158

Signals

• edge_weight_recent 15
• edge_weight_prior 0.5
• factor 30
• event_count_recent 20
• window_days 30

Confidence (60%) is computed numerically from these signals. The sentence prose was written by an LLM given only the structured signals as input, the LLM never sees or chooses the confidence number.

What would change our mind

Edge weight between Iraq and Houthis returns to its 30-day baseline, or two clean weeks pass with no fresh co-mention from a tier-1 source.

Inversion conditions are a property of the pattern detector, not the LLM. Watch for this signal move and the claim should weaken or be superseded.

Where the contributing events happen

Contributing events (10)

• 2026-07-25 04:15:00 · gdelt · 193 Fight with small arms and light weapons · tone -5.24
  Houthis vow retaliation saudi arabia
  Saudi Arabia · Iraq · Houthis
  source ↗
• 2026-07-25 03:15:00 · gdelt · 193 Fight with small arms and light weapons · tone -5.47
  Houthis vow retaliate saudi strikes yemen iran war
  Iran · Yemen · Iraq · Houthis
  source ↗
• 2026-07-24 16:45:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -2.71
  Houthis are striking ships carrying saudi oil red sea tankers are seeking other routes
  United States · Iraq · Tehran · Houthis
  source ↗
• 2026-07-24 16:15:00 · gdelt · 111 Criticize or denounce · tone -6.18
  Yemens houthis deny they closed bab al mandeb strait
  Iraq · Houthis
  source ↗
• 2026-07-24 06:00:00 · gdelt · 020 Make an appeal · tone -7.78
  Houthis attack on red sea tankers risks wider war
  Iraq · Tehran · Houthis
  source ↗
• 2026-07-23 17:00:00 · gdelt · 138 Threaten with military force · tone -5.82
  Yemens houthis attack saudi tankers in the red sea threatening to widen iran war
  Iran · Iraq · Tehran · Houthis
  source ↗
• 2026-07-23 13:45:00 · gdelt · 040 Consult · tone -5.94
  Houthis attack saudi tankers to open likely new front in iran war
  Iran · Iraq · Houthis
  source ↗
• 2026-07-23 10:45:00 · gdelt · 090 Investigate · tone -3.49
  Iran war trump and iran exchange more threats oil at 98 after ansar allah tanker strikes house passes 1 15 trillion ndaa with israel merger trump signs saudi nuclear deal
  Iran · Israel · Iraq · Houthis · Donald Trump
  source ↗
• 2026-07-22 11:45:00 · gdelt · 190 Fight · tone -3.14
  Iran war us trump strait hormuz oil prices red sea houthis
  Iran · United States · Iraq · Houthis · Donald Trump · WTI Crude Oil Price · Hormuz
  source ↗
• 2026-07-02 16:15:00 · gdelt · 125 Reject plan, agreement to settle dispute · tone -5.59
  Hamas hezbollah houthis low profile guest list for khameneis funeral reveals how isolated iran has become
  Iran · Iraq · Tehran · Hamas · Hezbollah · Houthis · Israel-Gaza · Israel · Gaza Strip
  source ↗

Confidence history